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BlockBeats news, April 4 — Although tensions between the US and Iran cooled somewhat over the weekend, the US continued to search for a crew member from an F-15E fighter jet shot down by Iran on Friday throughout the weekend, while Tehran continued its attacks on Gulf Arab states and Israel. According to reports, a second US combat aircraft also crashed in the Persian Gulf on the same day. This shows that both sides are expected to maintain a tense standoff next week, and all parties involved appear to have fully anticipated that US ground troops will enter Iranian territory. Apart from the Iran war, the most important macro event next week will be the minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting. Analysts point out that these minutes may confirm the hawkish shift suggested in the dot plot. The specific event schedule is as follows: Monday 22:00, US March ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI; Tuesday 15:50-16:30, France/Germany/Eurozone/UK March Services PMI final readings; Tuesday 23:00, US March New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations; Wednesday 00:35, 2027 FOMC voting member and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will speak on monetary policy; Wednesday 17:00, Eurozone February PPI month-on-month, Eurozone February retail sales month-on-month; Thursday 02:00, Federal Reserve to release minutes of its monetary policy meeting; Thursday 20:30, US initial jobless claims, US February core PCE price index year-on-year, US February personal spending month-on-month, US Q4 real GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter final reading, US Q4 real personal consumption expenditure quarter-on-quarter final reading, US Q4 core PCE price index annualized quarter-on-quarter final reading, US February core PCE price index month-on-month; Friday 20:30, US March unadjusted CPI year-on-year/core CPI year-on-year, US March seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month/core CPI month-on-month; Friday 22:00, US April one-year inflation expectations preliminary, US April University of Michigan consumer sentiment index preliminary, US February factory orders month-on-month. The US Labor Department will release March CPI data on Friday, which will be the first inflation data that can reflect the impact of the war. According to FactSet's consensus forecast, the headline CPI year-on-year increase is expected to jump from 2.4% to 3.1%.

BlockBeats News, April 4th, a CryptoQuant analysis report shows that the current cryptocurrency market sentiment and fund flow are out of sync: the Fear & Greed Index is in the extreme fear range (8–14), but ETF net inflows in March exceeded $1 billion; the an exchange Premium Index remains negative, reflecting limited participation from U.S. institutions. Geopolitical turbulence (Iran conflict) has led to price fluctuations, with a wait-and-see market strategy, overall demand slowly receding rather than panic selling. Despite a roughly 47% decline from its historical high of $126,000 in October 2025, much lower than the 85%+ crashes in 2013 and 2017, analyst Zack Wainwright pointed out that this is a sign of the Bitcoin market gradually maturing, with volatility gradually contracting. Potential catalysts include: Morgan Stanley's approval of a low-fee Bitcoin ETF, providing access to $6.2 trillion managed by 16,000 financial advisors, and the ongoing purchase of 44,000 BTC per month by the Strategy STRC preferred stock product, which may provide stable buying pressure to the market. Short-term technical indicators show that if the Iran conflict eases, Bitcoin could rebound to $71,500–$81,200. Combining relevant indicators, CryptoQuant's conclusion is: internal demand in the Bitcoin market is contracting, with current price support relying on institutional ETFs, Strategy, and new channels continuing to absorb selling pressure from retail and large hodlers.

The Solana Foundation and Project Eleven are collaborating to test quantum-resistant encryption technology, addressing concerns about the potential threat that future quantum computers could pose to blockchain security. Initial tests showed that quantum-resistant signatures increased in size by 40 times compared to the original, resulting in a roughly 90% decrease in network speed and raising questions about scalability.