1.07M
1.86M
2025-04-26 04:00:00 ~ 2025-04-28 10:30:00
2025-04-28 12:00:00 ~ 2025-04-28 16:00:00
Total supply10.00B
Resources
Introduction
Sign is building a global distribution platform for good services and assets. Signatures, Sign's first product, allows users to sign legally binding agreements using their public key, creating an on-chain record of agreement to the terms of the contract. Sign's second product is TokenTable, which helps the Web3 project execute, track and enforce the project's use in distributing its tokens.
Hedera (HBAR) recorded an impressive 17% rally in the past 24 hours, successfully recovering all its October losses. The sudden surge has sparked optimism across the market, yet investor sentiment remains cautious. While technical indicators hint at a potential continuation, holders are showing mixed signals despite the strong price rebound. Hedera Investors Show Doubt The Squeeze Momentum Indicator shows that Hedera is currently entering a buildup phase after more than a month of relative inactivity. This is signified by the appearance of black dots on the chart, indicating compression in volatility. Historically, such squeezes precede major breakouts once momentum shifts either bullish or bearish. If this squeeze releases under bullish momentum, HBAR could benefit significantly. Given the recent uptick in price, a bullish breakout could propel the altcoin toward new short-term highs. Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter HBAR Squeeze Momentum Indicator. Source: TradingView Despite the strong price performance, HBAR investors are still exhibiting bearish momentum. The sentiment indicator remains below the neutral 50 mark, signaling a lack of conviction among traders. This negative outlook likely stems from the altcoin’s previous struggles to sustain gains earlier in the month. While the 24-hour rally showcases technical recovery, broader sentiment has yet to follow. HBAR Weighted Sentiment. Source: Santiment HBAR Price Could Continue Rallying At the time of writing, HBAR is trading at $0.211, sitting just below the $0.212 resistance level. The altcoin could attempt to break above this barrier if investor confidence improves, setting the stage for continued upward momentum. HBAR’s 17% surge has helped it fully recover from October’s losses. Should bullish momentum persist, the cryptocurrency could extend its gains toward $0.219 and potentially breach $0.230 in the coming sessions. HBAR Price Analysis. Source: TradingView However, if selling pressure intensifies, HBAR could drop back to the $0.200 support level. A further decline below this could push prices toward $0.178, erasing recent gains and invalidating the current bullish outlook.
Ethereum (ETH) price has gained about 3.5% in the past week, hinting at a small rebound. But the token is still down more than 2% on the daily chart, showing that selling pressure hasn’t fully eased. This mix of short-term recovery and daily weakness explains why Ethereum’s breakout attempt failed on October 27 — though one group of investors is still quietly preparing for another bounce. Cooling Demand Explains The Breakout Failure Ethereum’s latest rejection has roots in slowing accumulation among active holders. The holder accumulation ratio, which measures how many wallets are increasing versus cutting their ETH holdings, dropped from 31.278 to 30.964, a 1% decline from its recent 3-month peak. ETH Holders Step Back And Accumulate Fewer Coins: Glassnode Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here. That drop means fewer addresses are adding ETH even as the price rises — suggesting traders are turning cautious or waiting for a better entry. At the same time, exchange flows confirm that shift in sentiment. The exchange net position change, which shows how much ETH is leaving exchanges, has become less negative. On October 15, outflows stood near 1.94 million ETH, but by October 27, they had narrowed to 1.10 million ETH, marking a 43% reduction. Ethereum Sellers Are Back: Glassnode When outflows shrink, it usually means holders are leaving more ETH on exchanges — a sign of rising short-term selling interest. These two factors together show why Ethereum’s breakout attempt couldn’t sustain momentum. Supply Cluster Keeps The Rally Contained The cost-basis heatmap, which highlights where large batches of ETH were last bought, shows the strongest supply cluster between $4,283 and $4,326, totaling around 1.34 million ETH. That is the same zone where Ethereum’s rally stalled — the $4,254-$4,395 range seen on the chart (highlighted later). So every time ETH nears this area, prior buyers may start selling to lock profits, adding pressure. Strongest ETH Clusters: Glassnode Until this wall is cleared, Ethereum’s move higher is likely to keep failing. But not everything looks weak. The Ethereum Price Setup Remains Balanced Ethereum continues to move inside a symmetrical triangle that has held since October 7. The latest rejection at the upper trendline on October 27 confirmed strong resistance but didn’t break the broader setup. For the Ethereum price to regain momentum, it needs to close firmly above the triangle’s upper boundary and hold that move. That would open a path toward the next key resistance band. The first level to cross would be $4,254, followed by $4,395 (a near 7% rise). Crossing these levels, courtesy of a 12-hour candle close, would also mean breaking through the cost basis cluster mentioned earlier. Ethereum Price Analysis: TradingView There is enough reason to believe that the cluster (resistance zone) might eventually break. The Smart Money Index — which tracks trading activity from wallets historically known for outperforming the market — has been making higher lows since October 22. This means that while prices have climbed, these wallets have continued accumulating, signaling confidence in a near-term rebound. But if the price falls below $3,918, the pattern weakens, exposing $3,711 as the next support. That would defeat the bullish outlook and smart money optimism.
Pi Coin (PI) witnessed a sharp 32% price surge in the past 24 hours, sparking hopes of a sustained rally. However, the optimism was short-lived as investors seemingly used the brief rally to offload holdings. The altcoin’s momentum now faces growing pressure, with technical indicators signaling a potential breakdown if selling continues. Pi Coin Outflows Surge The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator paints a concerning picture for Pi Coin. Over the past 24 hours, CMF has recorded a steep downtick, falling to a near two-month low. This trend reflects massive capital outflows, suggesting that traders may have taken profits quickly instead of holding for further gains. Such sharp declines in CMF often signal growing bearish sentiment. Pi Coin holders appear to have exited their positions amid the intra-day 32% price rise, leading to heavy outflows. This sudden reversal in sentiment could limit near-term recovery prospects, especially if investor confidence continues to wane. Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter. Pi Coin CMF. Source: TradingView On the macro level, Pi Coin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a different story. The RSI has spiked sharply over the last 24 hours, moving from the bearish territory below 50.0 to the positive zone. This upward shift usually suggests renewed bullish momentum and the potential for continued short-term gains. However, despite the improving RSI, the ongoing outflows may hinder the rally. If selling persists, it could offset the positive technical momentum, keeping Pi Coin price range-bound. Pi Coin RSI. Source: TradingView PI Price May Struggle To Rally Pi Coin’s price stands at $0.229 at the time of writing, holding right above its critical support at the same level. This zone could serve as a launchpad for a potential rebound, provided buyers step back in with conviction. If Pi Coin manages to hold and bounce from $0.229, it could climb toward $0.256 or even higher. Such a move would indicate renewed market strength and partial recovery from recent profit-taking. Pi Coin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView Conversely, if the $0.229 support fails, the price may drop to $0.209 and potentially retest $0.198. This would invalidate the bullish outlook and confirm a short-term bearish continuation for Pi Coin.
OFFICIAL TRUMP is trading around the $6.93 mark. TRUMP’s trading volume has skyrocketed by over 485%. The red carpet is once again ready for the crypto assets, which reflect losses across the market. As the neutral sentiment lingers within the market, the price is moving downward. Bitcoin, the largest asset, hovers at around $113.6K, while the largest altcoin, Ethereum, trades at $4K. Among the altcoins, OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) has gained 10.93% in value. The asset opened the day trading at a bottom range of $6.18, and with the bullish encounter, the price has climbed to a high level of $8.02. It breaks the key resistances to confirm the uptrend. Further upward pressure may see additional gains. As per CoinMarketCap data , at the time of writing, OFFICIAL TRUMP traded within the $6.93 mark. Moreover, the market cap has reached $1.36 billion, with the daily trading volume of TRUMP having increased by over 485%, reaching $1.73 billion. Is the Next Breakout Around the Corner for OFFICIAL TRUMP? The OFFICIAL TRUMP’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line crosses above the signal line, giving a bullish signal. It indicates that the ongoing momentum may shift further up, and the price could continue rising. TRUMP chart (Source: TradingView ) In addition, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator of TRUMP is at 0.17, suggesting moderate buying pressure. Also, the money is flowing into the asset. The closer the value gets to +1, the stronger the accumulation trend. With the bullish takeover, OFFICIAL TRUMP might test the crucial resistance range at around $7.03. An extended correction on the upside could trigger the golden cross to take place, sending the price up to $7.13 or even higher. If the TRUMP price momentum reverses, a bearish trading pattern could help find the nearby support at $6.83 level. The downside correction might initiate the emergence of a death cross, pushing it to trade below $6.73. TRUMP’s daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) found at 66.61 signals that it is showing strong bullish momentum, and may approach the overbought zone. If it climbs higher, a short-term correction could follow. Besides, the OFFICIAL TRUMP’s Bull Bear Power (BBP) reading of 0.684 implies that the bulls currently have the upper hand in the market. Notably, the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure. Top Updated Crypto News Lawmaker Proposes Crypto Trading Ban for Trump and Congress
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XRP has gained nearly 6% in the past week, trimming some of last month’s weakness. It’s still down in the three-month band, but the token remains up over 400% year-on-year — showing that the larger uptrend hasn’t been broken. Now, a small 7% move could be all it takes to unlock the next rally zone. The latest on-chain and chart signals suggest it might happen sooner than many expect. Whales And The Short-Term Chart Hint At A Push Coming Big XRP holders are adding again. Since yesterday, wallets holding over 1 billion XRP have increased their stash from 25.07 billion to 25.12 billion, a 50 million addition. Additionally, wallets holding 10 million–100 million XRP have added around 70 million coins, taking their total from 8.15 billion to 8.22 billion. In total, these wallets have added tokens worth $314 million. XRP Whales Are Active: That accumulation often happens when large players expect near-term momentum to pick up. The 4-hour chart supports this, showing improving short-term structure. Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which tracks recent price momentum, has already crossed above the 50-period EMA and is now approaching the 100-period EMA. That would form another golden crossover. XRP’s 4-Hour Price Chart: If the faster EMA moves above the longer one, it typically means buying strength is growing and traders are starting to position for a breakout. Together, the steady whale inflows and strengthening short-term chart set the stage for a test of XRP price’s most important resistance. We will reveal that in the next sections. Cost-Basis Heatmap Shows Where The Price Battle Lies Before looking at the price chart, the cost-basis heatmap helps us understand where most holders are sitting on potential profits or losses, and where they might sell. Data from Glassnode shows that the heaviest supply cluster is between $2.78 and $2.80. This zone is where roughly 135 million XRP were last acquired. XRP Price Supply Zone: This is the zone where traders who bought earlier may try to sell and lock in profits. Breaking above it means absorbing that supply, which often triggers follow-up buying. That $2.78–$2.80 zone aligns almost perfectly with the next chart-based breakout level we’ll look at next. What the XRP Price Chart Shows On the daily chart, XRP continues to trade inside a falling wedge. This pattern usually signals a bullish reversal once the upper boundary is breached. That boundary lies near $2.81, the same level marked by the heatmap’s dense supply band. A daily close above $2.81 would confirm the breakout and validate the technical and on-chain signals. Once broken, price targets appear at $3.37 and $3.66. XRP Price Analysis: If XRP fails to break above $2.81 and instead slips below $2.59, it could delay the next move higher. Losing $2.43 could even bring $2.27 back into the mix, invalidating the near-term bullishness. But for now, the combination of whale buildup, positive short-term EMA signals, and a concentrated resistance zone just 7% (6.98% to be exact) away makes the setup hard to ignore.
Hedera (HBAR) traders are heading into November with mixed expectations. The token has dropped 32.6% over the past three months, weighed down by broader market caution, but HBAR price history says the next few weeks could look very different. November has been one of Hedera’s best-performing months on record, gaining 14.5% in 2023 and an incredible 262.5% in 2024. With the FOMC meeting wrapping up on October 29 and possible rate cuts in sight, traders are wondering whether another big move could be brewing for November. Weak Big-Money Backing Despite Strong Historical Record Over the years, HBAR has shown a strong seasonal bias for November rallies. But this time, it’s missing one critical element — whale support. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), an indicator that tracks how much capital is entering or exiting the market, sits at –0.13 on the daily chart. A positive CMF shows money flowing in, but negative readings mean investors are pulling funds out. HBAR Money Flow History: TradingView Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter. Last November, CMF hovered near +0.26, a sign of strong institutional buying. The current downtrend shows that large investors are still holding back. Despite that, HBAR’s long-term data shows an average November gain of 41%, keeping optimism alive if the macro setup turns supportive after the Fed meeting. Hedera Price History: CryptoRank Short Liquidations Could Trigger a Sharp Move Upward While big money remains quiet, the derivatives market is heating up. According to Bitget’s liquidation map, shorts have built up roughly $37.94 million in open positions, while longs hold $23.78 million. There is a nearly 50% gap in favor of bearish bets. Most of these short clusters sit between $0.18 and $0.19, right around HBAR’s current range. If prices rise slightly after the FOMC meeting, especially if the Fed confirms a dovish tone or a rate cut, it could trigger a short squeeze, forcing bearish traders to buy back into the market. HBAR Liquidation Map: Coinglass That kind of derivatives-led rally could set off a quick move toward $0.22 or even $0.26. The latter would mark gains of up to 44% from current levels. HBAR Price Action and Divergence Hint at Early Indecision On the two-day chart, HBAR is still moving inside a symmetrical triangle, a neutral pattern that often leads to large breakouts (or breakdowns) once the price escapes the range. However, between October 12 and October 26, the price made lower highs, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a tool measuring buying versus selling pressure, formed higher highs. That’s known as a hidden bearish divergence, which usually signals that the existing downtrend could continue. The 3-month dip of over 32% confirms the downtrend. Still, the RSI, currently near 43, is hovering in a zone where reversals can easily form, especially if external triggers appear. If HBAR closes above $0.20, the upper boundary of the triangle breaks, and targets of $0.22 and $0.26 (a 44% rise) open up. HBAR Price Analysis: TradingView If the token falls below $0.17 (triggered by the bearish divergence), downside targets appear near $0.14 and $0.10. That would invalidate the previous bullish structure and erase most of HBAR’s October-end rebound. It is also worth noting that the lower trendline of the triangle has only two proper touchpoints. That makes the HBAR price breakdown risk more pronounced, especially if Hedera loses $0.17. The overall setup for November suggests that derivatives, not whale buying, could decide HBAR’s next move. Historically, strong Novembers have relied on big-money inflows, but with the CMF still negative, that support hasn’t arrived yet. If short liquidations start piling up after a dovish FOMC signal, a short-term rally above $0.20 could unfold quickly. However, if the Fed disappoints or the divergence deepens, a slide toward $0.14 remains likely before any HBAR price recovery.
Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) has seen a sharp rally over the past few days, climbing to a two-month high. The token has surged on strong investor demand, doubling in value in less than a week. While the bullish momentum remains solid, technical indicators suggest that a short-term correction could emerge soon. Virtuals Protocol Could See Reversal The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits above 70, placing VIRTUAL in the overbought zone. This indicates that profits among holders are peaking, often a precursor to short-term pullbacks. Traders may begin securing gains, especially after such a steep rise, potentially leading to mild selling pressure in the near term. Historically, when RSI remains extended for long periods, it signals that price momentum has outpaced sustainable growth. If investors start locking in profits, the VIRTUAL price could temporarily stabilize or retrace before resuming its uptrend. Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here. VIRTUAL RSI. Source: VIRTUAL’s correlation with Bitcoin is currently at 0.52, indicating a moderate relationship between the two assets. However, with Bitcoin recovering toward $115,000, this correlation could work against VIRTUAL if it fails to mirror BTC’s strength. If Bitcoin’s momentum remains positive while VIRTUAL lags, traders could rotate capital back into the leading cryptocurrency. This shift would increase selling pressure on the altcoin. VIRTUAL Correlation To Bitcoin. Source: VIRTUAL Price Jumps At the time of writing, VIRTUAL trades at $1.50 after a 105% rise in just four days. The token has received notable support from investors. Strong on-chain activity and trading volume continue to support its current valuation. However, based on market conditions, VIRTUAL could soon face a short-term pullback. If selling pressure intensifies, the token might fall below the $1.37 support level, extending losses toward $1.14 or even lower. VIRTUAL Price Analysis. Source: If investors choose to hold their positions, VIRTUAL could maintain its momentum. A sustained rally above $1.54 may push the token toward $1.65 or even $2.00. Breaking this barrier would invalidate the bearish outlook.
Pi Coin (PI) price has rallied nearly 24% in the past 24 hours at press time, cutting its monthly losses to about 4%. But even with this rebound, the token is still down over 40% in the past three months, meaning the broader downtrend hasn’t ended. While the move looks impressive, several signals suggest that this might be a short-term bounce inside a larger bearish setup unless the Pi Network token clears one critical resistance level. Buying Momentum Fades Despite the Jump PI’s price has recovered sharply, but key indicators show that underlying strength may not support this rally for long. Between October 6 and October 27, the PI price made a lower high, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a measure of buying and selling strength, formed a higher high. Pi Coin And Hidden Bearish Divergence: TradingView Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here. That pattern is a hidden bearish divergence, which typically means the broader downtrend could continue despite a short-term rise. This indicates that while prices are rebounding, they’re doing so within a weak underlying structure. The Money Flow Index (MFI), which tracks real capital inflows, tells a similar story. Since October 24, the price has made a higher high, but the MFI has printed a lower high, meaning there’s less new money entering the market even as prices push higher. Money Flows Not As Strong: TradingView This same combination appeared between September 3 and September 20, and the Pi Coin price dropped about 48% shortly after. While not a guarantee of a repeat, the pattern suggests that this rally could lose steam once buying pressure slows. Short-Term Charts Still Show Some Upside Despite those bearish divergences, the short-term trend still leaves room for a bit more upside. On the 4-hour chart, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a fast-reacting average that tracks recent price momentum, has crossed above the 50-period EMA, signaling a possible short-term bullish phase. The 20-period EMA is now approaching the 100-period EMA, and if it crosses above, it could trigger another burst of buying. This type of EMA crossover is often seen when traders start building short-term long positions after a rebound. Pi Coin 4-Hour Price Chart: TradingView If that happens, Pi could rise toward $0.27, a nearby resistance level. Key Resistance Could Decide The Next Pi Coin Price Move On the daily chart, Pi Coin remains within a falling broadening wedge, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern. This structure often forms during extended downtrends and can signal that selling pressure is weakening. Right now, the Pi Coin price faces a crucial resistance zone at $0.28. It is worth noting that while the shorter-term chart hints at a move towards $0.27, a stronger rally will only continue post-clearing $0.28. A daily candle close above that key level would confirm a breakout from the wedge and could open the way toward $0.36, a gain of about 41% from current levels. Pi Coin Price Analysis: TradingView However, if PI fails to clear this level, sellers could return quickly. A drop below $0.20 (a 20% drop) would expose the token to further declines toward $0.15.
The Bitcoin price is on the move again, climbing 3.2% in the past 24 hours and leading a wider 3.7% gain across the crypto market. Over the past month, it’s been up about 5%, showing that momentum is gradually improving. But the rise isn’t without signs of hesitation. Beneath the surface, two underrated yet critical metrics are shifting in ways that could slow the next leg higher, even as the bigger picture still looks bullish. Whales Pull Back as Exchange Outflows Ease One key factor to watch is whale behavior. Whales are large holders — typically wallets with 1,000 BTC or more — and their activity often signals market direction. Data shows the number of whale entities has dropped to a three-month low of 1,350, down steadily since October 14. The first dip from the October 14 local high was around the time the Bitcoin price corrected from $115,000 to $106,400; a 7.40% dip. Bitcoin Whales Slowing Down: Glassnode Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here. This shows that some large holders have been taking profits. As a result, much of the current buying appears driven by smaller, retail participants rather than institutional-scale players. A related metric, exchange net position change, complements this view. It measures how much Bitcoin moves in or out of exchanges each day. Negative values mean outflows (buying), and positive ones mean inflows (selling). On October 15, outflows reached 111,720 BTC, signaling strong buying pressure. By October 26, they had dropped to 54,643 BTC, a decline of about 51%. Bitcoin Exchange Outflows Slowing Down: Glassnode Outflows still suggest accumulation, but the slowdown hints that the intensity of buying is fading, and short-term selling could return before the next leg higher. Bullish Divergence Holds, but Bitcoin Price Tests Resistance At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a tool that measures buying versus selling strength, continues to support the broader bullish view. The indicator has been forming higher lows since mid-October, even as the price briefly dipped, creating what’s called a bullish divergence. This usually means sellers are losing control and buyers are gradually returning. The RSI trend ties neatly into the current chart pattern. Bitcoin has now confirmed its falling wedge breakout, with prices holding above $111,000 and moving close to $114,900. A full daily candle close above $117,600 (critical resistance) could unlock the next resistance levels at $121,400 and $126,300, with a potential target near $134,100, a new all-time high zone. That would be a 20% upmove from the breakout level of $111,000. Bitcoin Price Analysis: TradingView However, if Bitcoin fails to hold above $112,200, a deeper pullback could follow. A drop below $108,900 (a 6% drop from the current level) would expose $103,500. This is a level that previously served as strong support.
Episode 44 of The Crypto Beat was recorded with The Block's Co-Hosts Kelvin Sparks and Tim Copeland, who were joined by Pantera Capital Junior Partner Mason Nystrom. Listen below, and subscribe to The Crypto Beat on YouTube , Apple , Spotify , Twitch, or wherever you listen to podcasts. Please send feedback and revision requests to [email protected] In this episode of the Crypto Beat, Tim Copeland and Kelvin Sparks were joined by Mason Nystrom, Junior Partner at Pantera Capital, to discuss how stablecoins could be the tech that transforms fintech rails to be more internet blockchain native, what the Hyperliquid USDH bidding war signals for capturing payment flow, and the tokenization of real-world assets, including collectibles like Pokémon cards. OUTLINE 00:00 - Introduction 01:44 - Mason's origin in crypto 03:35 - Research vs. VC investing 04:46 - The $1T stablecoin thesis 06:31 - Tempo: Stripe/Paradigm's payments L1 08:55 - Retail upside & neutrality questions 14:18 - Why Stripe self-disrupts 20:12 - Hyperliquid's USDH bidding war 23:43 - RWAs: tokenized collectibles 28:48 - Launchpads & DeFi platformization 33:08 - SocFi: Pump.fun vs. FriendTech 43:59 - Prediction markets & regulation The Block Newsletters The Block's newsletters bring you the latest news and analysis of the fast-moving crypto and DeFi markets. Guest links:
Solana’s price continues to face resistance around the $200 mark, a level that has proven difficult to break. After multiple attempts at recovery, the altcoin remains constrained just below this threshold. Despite broader market optimism, Solana’s inability to secure $200 as support has kept investors cautious and profit-taking active. Solana Profits Remain Volatile Recent data shows that Solana’s supply in profit has been highly volatile. Within just 48 hours, the percentage of SOL supply in profit jumped from 52% to 70% — an 18% increase — while the price itself rose by less than 5%. This disparity suggests that many holders accumulated their tokens around the $200 level. When Solana’s price dips, these profits vanish quickly, leading to renewed selling pressure. The sharp fluctuations confirm that $200 remains a critical psychological and technical barrier. Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter. Solana Supply In Profit. Source: Glassnode Exchange data reinforces this cautious outlook. Over the past 10 days, approximately 1.5 million SOL — valued near $300 million — has been moved to exchanges. This trend indicates that many holders are choosing to sell rather than accumulate, reflecting a prevailing bearish sentiment across the market. The rising exchange balance often precedes short-term corrections, as higher supply on trading platforms increases the risk of sell-offs. Unless inflows slow down or strong buying interest emerges, Solana may continue facing downward pressure. Solana Exchange Balance. Source: Glassnode SOL Price Needs To Find Strength To Rally At the time of writing, Solana trades at $197, sitting just below the $200 resistance. This price level has repeatedly acted as a ceiling, preventing a sustained recovery. For a decisive breakout, SOL must secure $200 as a firm support base to confirm bullish strength. If selling pressure persists, Solana’s price could drop below $192, with potential declines toward $183 or even $175. The continued rise in exchange balances and unstable profit-taking activity support this near-term bearish scenario. Solana Price Analysis. Source: TradingView However, if Solana manages to climb above $200 and extend gains to $213, it could invalidate the bearish outlook. A clean breakout above $200 would likely attract renewed investor interest, improving sentiment and reducing short-term volatility.
Pi Coin’s price has entered another phase of sideways movement after several attempts to break past resistance failed. Over the past few days, the cryptocurrency has remained largely stagnant, lacking strong investor participation. Pi Coin’s price continues to hover within a narrow range, signaling hesitation among traders waiting for a clearer market direction. Pi Coin Needs Support The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator shows inflows into Pi Coin are slowly increasing, but the pace remains modest. This signals that while investor interest is gradually returning, it is still insufficient to fuel a meaningful breakout. Without stronger capital inflows, the coin’s recovery could remain subdued in the short term. Historically, rising inflows often serve as a catalyst for sustained rallies, but current CMF readings suggest liquidity pressure persists. To support a bullish reversal, Pi Coin needs consistent accumulation from investors and renewed participation from large holders. Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter Pi Coin CMF. Source: From a macro perspective, Pi Coin’s market momentum is showing early signs of stabilization. The Squeeze Momentum Indicator reveals that bearish pressure is gradually fading, indicating that sellers may be losing control. However, momentum remains muted as traders await confirmation of a trend reversal. A squeeze buildup on the chart suggests a potential volatility expansion is approaching. If this squeeze releases in favor of the bulls, Pi Coin could experience a notable price jump. Pi Coin Squeeze Momentum Indicator. Source: PI Price Needs To Breakout Pi Coin is currently priced at $0.207, sitting just below the $0.209 resistance. The altcoin has remained rangebound for nearly two weeks, holding above the critical $0.198 support zone. This consolidation phase highlights indecision among traders as both bulls and bears struggle for control. If market inflows strengthen, Pi Coin could break through the $0.209 resistance and rally toward $0.229. Sustained buying volume and renewed investor participation will be essential for this move. A confirmed breakout above $0.209 would signal improving momentum and attract new short-term traders. Pi Coin Price Analysis. Source: However, if Pi Coin faces bearish headwinds, the price could continue consolidating or dip below $0.198. A break under this support might push the coin toward $0.180, invalidating the bullish outlook. Weak inflows and selling pressure would likely reinforce this downside scenario.
Hedera’s (HBAR) price has traded sideways over the past few days, showing signs of consolidation after a period of weak investor participation. Limited market support kept the token stagnant, but momentum appears to be shifting. Technical indicators suggest renewed optimism, hinting that a potential recovery may soon unfold for HBAR. Hedera Shows Bullish Signs The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trajectory, indicating improving buying pressure on HBAR. This incline signals growing investor confidence after nearly three weeks of muted activity. However, the RSI remains below the neutral 50.0 mark, suggesting the bullish momentum has not yet been fully confirmed. A move above the 50.0 threshold would mark a transition into positive territory and signal the end of the recent 20-day bearish phase. This shift could attract fresh capital and trading interest, reinforcing the upward sentiment. Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here. HBAR RSI. Source: HBAR RSI. Source: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator adds further weight to this potential reversal. In the short term, the MACD has just formed a bullish crossover, with the indicator line crossing above the signal line. This is a classic sign of waning bearish momentum and growing buying interest. Such a crossover often precedes a price rebound, suggesting that market sentiment is turning more favorable. The shift indicates that HBAR is beginning to align with broader market cues supporting a risk-on environment. If momentum continues building, the cryptocurrency may enter a stronger phase of accumulation. HBAR MACD. Source: HBAR MACD. Source: HBAR Price Can Breakout At present, HBAR’s price remains consolidated between $0.178 and $0.162. For the altcoin to initiate a clear breakout, it must close above the $0.178 resistance. Doing so would open the path toward the $0.200 psychological barrier, confirming a potential upward trend. To reach $0.200, a 13.6% increase from current levels would be required. The bullish crossover on the MACD and the rising RSI suggest this move is achievable, provided investor participation continues. HBAR Price Analysis. Source: HBAR Price Analysis. Source: However, if selling pressure returns, HBAR may retest support at $0.162, extending its consolidation phase. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the bullish thesis, pushing prices down to $0.154 and signaling renewed weakness.
Bitcoin’s price has been slowly recovering after recent declines, and it has been trading cautiously over the past few days. The rebound has been modest, but the underlying data suggest potential challenges ahead. A decline in illiquid supply — long-term holdings that rarely move — may hinder Bitcoin’s ability to sustain its upward trajectory. Bitcoin Holders Are Offloading Illiquid Bitcoin supply has started to decline again, with approximately 62,000 BTC moving out of inactive wallets since mid-October. This shift indicates that more coins are re-entering circulation, increasing potential selling pressure. When illiquid supply falls, available liquidity rises, often making sustained price rallies more difficult. Historically, shrinking illiquid supply signals reduced conviction among long-term holders. Unless new inflows balance this movement, Bitcoin could face headwinds in maintaining its recovery. Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here. Bitcoin Illiquid Supply. Source: Glassnode Buyer and seller dynamics show that momentum traders have mostly exited the market. Meanwhile, dip-buyers have not stepped in aggressively enough to counter the growing sell-side pressure. This imbalance has weakened Bitcoin’s upward momentum, keeping it vulnerable to price stagnation or short-term retracement. Additionally, first-time buyers have remained largely inactive, highlighting limited spot demand. The lack of fresh capital inflows continues to weigh on market strength. Until a stronger wave of buyers re-emerges, the existing equilibrium between sellers and holders is likely to restrain Bitcoin’s breakout potential. Bitcoin Buyer/Seller Dynamics. Source: Glassnode BTC Price Could Face Consolidation Bitcoin’s price currently stands at $112,513, just above the $112,500 mark. Establishing this level as solid support is critical for sustaining recovery. However, weak inflows and cautious sentiment could make holding this position difficult as traders await stronger signals of renewed demand. The present market structure suggests Bitcoin may struggle to push past $115,000. Unless liquidity conditions improve, price action may remain rangebound or consolidate above $108,000. Without strong buying momentum, attempts to rally could lose traction quickly. Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView For Bitcoin to target $120,000, renewed interest from both retail and institutional investors is essential. A decisive move above $115,000 would likely invalidate the bearish scenario, triggering fresh momentum and attracting new capital into the market.
During the U.S. federal government shutdown that began on October 1, 2025, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) went into contingency staffing mode. Almost a hundred crypto ETF decisions got stuck in approval limbo as a result, and key economic-data releases from agencies such as the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the U.S. Census Bureau were paused. For crypto, that blackout became an unscripted stress test, as the industry suddenly lost its usual regulatory support elements. And given that the crypto market often prides itself on being decentralized and self-sufficient, this is a moment of truth where it can prove that claim. How do crypto traders, exchanges, and issuers perform when oversight suddenly vanishes? Let’s take a look. What Actually Pauses in a U.S. Shutdown: ETF and token-filing reviews: Routine processing of ETF and token registration documents is largely suspended, as reflected by the SEC announcement. Issuer communications: Many correspondence channels between the SEC and registrants are inactive during the shutdown. Federal data releases: Reports such as jobs, inflation, and trade data are delayed, per Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistics notices prior to the shutdown. A Pause in Oversight, Not in Action The shutdown didn’t just stop new rules; it halted everything that gives the market structure and visibility. And with enforcement activity slowing to a crawl, that leaves crypto issuers, exchanges, and traders navigating the silence on their own terms. For issuers, it’s an exercise in patience. There’s nothing to do but wait. Projects with pending ETF or token applications simply can’t move forward, no matter how ready they may be. Bureaucratic timeouts don’t discriminate — they hit all momentum equally. Exchanges, meanwhile, are keeping steady. The more experienced ones understand that running smoothly during a regulatory blackout is the best insurance policy. If anything goes wrong now, it will all too likely be audited later. So the smart players are making an effort to stay compliant and avoid anything that might look questionable when the lights come back on. Traders, though, seem to be leaning into the chaos, treating the shutdown as an opportunity rather than a reason to slow down. Take Bitcoin as an example: during the initial two weeks since the shutdown began (October 1–14), BTC briefly traded above the $120,000 mark, with $60–70 billion in 24-hour volume, as reported by CoinMarketCap. With no new macro data or regulatory headlines to anchor expectations, market participants are relying on the only signal left: price action. In normal times, traders ask “why” something moves. In a vacuum, they just react to “what.” It becomes a feedback loop: price drives sentiment, sentiment drives price. The result is a market that feels alive and unpredictable, but also detached from fundamentals. Whatever the market does becomes the message. A Sign of Strength? Or Immaturity? That’s fascinating to look at, but also very risky. On the surface, the market looks mature. Prices are up, liquidity is high, and exchanges aren’t showing signs of stress. Considering the absence of active supervision, it suggests that crypto infrastructure has grown more resilient than it used to be. But if we look under the surface, we can see that the shutdown is also exposing weak spots. Some traders behave as if the absence of oversight means freedom to take bigger risks. It’s the financial equivalent of kids testing boundaries while the parents are out. But make no mistake: when regulators return, they will be checking every corner. Periods of regulatory absence tend to invite leverage creep and lax disclosure discipline. In credit markets, analysts have observed that when firms operate outside the full view of regulators and public disclosure, they behave with unprecedented discretion, shielded from the discipline and scrutiny usually imposed by the watchdogs. And from what we’ve observed so far, the same implications hold true for the crypto market: when oversight is minimal, boundary-testing accelerates. But when the SEC’s full staffing returns, those actions won’t just vanish — they will simply become visible for retrospective review. So yes, the market is holding up, but it’s being tested. True maturity isn’t about how you act when someone’s watching — it’s about what you do when no one is. When the Data Stops Flowing For all its independence, the crypto market doesn’t operate in a vacuum. As more traditional players enter the space, digital assets increasingly move in sync with macro signals — interest rates, inflation reports, and regulatory updates. These signals shape sentiment, liquidity, and strategy. When they suddenly disappear, the entire decision-making framework shifts. In their absence, other signals are now rising in importance. Traders are paying more attention to on-chain metrics like wallet flows or gas fees. Social sentiment and news chatter become substitutes for economic data. Now that traditional data streams have gone dark, the background “noise” has taken center stage and become the new compass. But this substitution has limits. While on-chain data can reveal activity, it doesn’t always capture intent. And so, it doesn’t always capture risk either. Without reliable macro context, even experienced traders can misread the market’s tone. ETF Delays: The Silent Momentum Killer Perhaps the most visible casualty of the shutdown is the pipeline of spot and futures ETFs whose reviews had been halted by the SEC. These aren’t just financial products — they represent institutional validation and investor confidence. When approvals freeze, builders lose momentum and investors lose patience. People don’t care why the approvals are missing, only that they are. And the whole sector starts to feel like it’s waiting for permission again. It’s important to remember that the delay doesn’t mean a “no” — it’s a “not yet.” A simple bureaucratic freeze instead of the regulator passing down negative judgment. But perception matters, and in a fast-moving market like crypto, even silence can feel like rejection. Shutdowns are rarely good for anyone but can be especially devastating to sectors where timing, trust, and momentum are everything. Quick Takeaways: Bitcoin’s surge during the shutdown signals confidence, but also speculative reflex when oversight is gone. Delays in ETF reviews reflect bureaucracy and staffing issues, not the SEC’s official stance. It’s important not to let this sway the general market sentiment. With macro data on hold, on-chain and sentiment signals gain influence, but they can be misleading. These tools reflect activity, but not always intent. The Bigger Picture So, ultimately, what does this stress test tell us? First, that the days when regulatory uncertainty froze all activity are largely behind us — the crypto infrastructure is stronger now, more resilient. But it also shows that absence of oversight doesn’t mean absence of risk. The market might be stable now, but when normal regulatory operations resume, it remains to be seen who overextended themselves in the quiet. The current shutdown may be temporary, but the lessons it reveals about the discipline and maturity of this market will have far-reaching consequences.
Michael Saylor of Strategy has hinted at a potential new Bitcoin purchase through a chart showing the company’s 640,250 BTC holdings valued at $69 billion, suggesting ongoing accumulation despite market pressures on corporate treasuries. Strategy leads with 640,250 BTC, representing 2.5% of Bitcoin’s total supply and outpacing other corporate holders. The company’s latest post on X fuels trader speculation of imminent buys, based on historical patterns. Corporate Bitcoin treasuries face NAV declines, with firms like Metaplanet seeing market values drop below holdings amid volatile prices. Discover Michael Saylor’s latest hint at Strategy’s Bitcoin purchase amid treasury challenges. Explore holdings data and market impacts in this analysis by COINOTAG. Stay informed on crypto trends—read now! What is Strategy’s Latest Hint on Bitcoin Purchases? Strategy Bitcoin purchase signals continue as Michael Saylor, the company’s executive chairman, recently shared a chart on X illustrating cumulative Bitcoin acquisitions, emphasizing that “the most important orange dot is always the next.” This post highlights Strategy’s current holdings of 640,250 BTC, valued at approximately $69 billion based on recent market prices. The chart tracks 82 purchase events, with the aggregate cost basis at around $74,000 per coin, reflecting a 45.6% unrealized gain despite broader market fluctuations. Saylor hints at upcoming Bitcoin purchase. Source: Michael Saylor Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, has positioned itself as a leader in corporate Bitcoin adoption. The firm’s strategy involves leveraging its balance sheet to acquire BTC as a primary treasury reserve asset. This approach, initiated in 2020, has drawn both praise for its boldness and criticism for its risks in volatile markets. Saylor’s cryptic messaging often precedes actual transactions, as seen in previous announcements where similar posts on social media were followed by confirmed buys. Last week, for instance, Strategy added 220 BTC for $27.2 million during a period when Bitcoin reached new all-time highs. According to data from BitcoinTreasuries.Net, Strategy’s dominance in Bitcoin holdings underscores its pivotal role in the ecosystem. The company’s reserves not only bolster its financial position but also influence broader market sentiment, encouraging other firms to consider similar strategies. How Do Corporate Bitcoin Treasuries Rank Globally? Strategy maintains its position as the top corporate Bitcoin holder with 640,250 BTC, equivalent to nearly 2.5% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply. This surpasses the combined holdings of the next several major players, including public miners and other treasuries. In comparison, MARA Holdings, formerly Marathon Digital, holds 53,250 BTC valued at about $5.7 billion, while XXI, also known as CEP, ranks third with 43,514 BTC worth $4.7 billion. Japan-based Metaplanet follows in fourth place with 30,823 BTC, and the Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company, or CEPO, completes the top five at 30,021 BTC. Other notable U.S.-listed entities like Riot Platforms, CleanSpark, Coinbase, and Tesla hold smaller yet significant positions, with the top 15 public companies collectively amassing over 900,000 BTC. This concentration highlights the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin as a store of value. Top 15 Bitcoin treasury firms. Source: BitcoinTreasuries.Net BitcoinTreasuries.Net’s latest report emphasizes that these holdings reflect a strategic shift among corporations toward digital assets. For example, miners like MARA and Riot integrate Bitcoin directly into operations, while tech firms like Tesla view it as a hedge against inflation. Expert analysts from firms such as 10x Research note that such treasuries have driven Bitcoin’s adoption, with total corporate holdings now exceeding 1 million BTC when including private entities. However, this ranking is dynamic, influenced by market prices and ongoing acquisitions. The data also reveals geographic diversity, with U.S. firms leading but Asian companies like Metaplanet gaining ground rapidly. Metaplanet, for instance, has aggressively expanded its BTC reserves in 2024, mirroring Strategy’s playbook but on a smaller scale. Official statistics from blockchain analytics platforms confirm these figures, showing no discrepancies in on-chain verification. Frequently Asked Questions What Makes Strategy’s Bitcoin Strategy Unique Among Corporates? Strategy’s Bitcoin strategy stands out due to its scale and conviction, treating BTC as a core treasury asset rather than a speculative investment. With holdings acquired at an average of $74,000 per coin, the firm has benefited from price appreciation to $108,000 levels. Michael Saylor often cites Bitcoin’s scarcity and historical performance as justification, positioning it superior to traditional reserves like cash or bonds. This approach has yielded significant unrealized gains but requires careful debt management for further purchases. Why Are Bitcoin Treasury NAVs Declining Recently? Bitcoin treasury net asset values are declining due to a combination of share price corrections and Bitcoin’s price volatility. Many firms issued equity at premiums far above their BTC holdings’ value during the 2025 bull run, leading to a “round-trip” where valuations have reverted. For instance, Metaplanet’s market cap recently fell below its BTC reserve value, with its market-to-NAV ratio hitting 0.99. Analysts at 10x Research report billions in paper losses for retail investors, while companies retain actual Bitcoin assets. This trend underscores the risks of leveraged crypto exposure in public markets. Key Takeaways Imminent Purchase Signal: Saylor’s chart post suggests Strategy’s next Bitcoin acquisition could boost holdings beyond 640,250 BTC, continuing its aggressive accumulation. Market Leadership: As the largest holder, Strategy influences corporate adoption, with its 2.5% supply stake highlighting institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value. NAV Challenges: Despite gains, treasury firms face valuation pressures; investors should monitor ratios like Metaplanet’s to gauge sustainability and potential buying opportunities. Conclusion Michael Saylor’s hint at a Strategy Bitcoin purchase reinforces the company’s unwavering commitment to expanding its treasury amid challenges like collapsing NAVs in the broader corporate landscape. With 640,250 BTC already secured and leading global rankings, Strategy exemplifies bold institutional adoption. As Bitcoin prices stabilize around $108,000, future acquisitions could further solidify its position. Investors are encouraged to track official announcements and market data for updates—COINOTAG will continue monitoring developments in corporate crypto strategies. In Case You Missed It: XRP Futures ETFs Launch, Paving Way for Potential Liquidity Surge on Spot Approval
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