XRP priceXRP

$XRP Long-Term Further decline toward the bear pennant's theoretical target of $0.80 . Hold the macro accumulation zone ($0.86-$0.66) to target $2**, **$3, and higher .

The crypto market is showing renewed weakness as $ETH faces a critical moment, needing to defend the 1,885 support level to avoid a deeper correction, while $XRP is hovering dangerously close to the psychological 1 zone amid fading bullish momentum. Market structure suggests increasing pressure from sellers, raising concerns about short-term downside risks across major assets. At the same time, $SHIB continues to struggle with recovery strength, with technical indicators pointing toward limited buying interest unless broader market sentiment improves. Analysts note that meme coins remain highly dependent on liquidity cycles, meaning volatility could remain elevated in the near term. Overall, the market outlook is leaning bearish as key support levels are repeatedly tested, signaling cautious sentiment among traders and investors. If macro pressure persists, major tokens could see further retracements before any sustainable rebound forms.

XRP remains in a broader corrective downtrend after rejecting from the $2.39–$2.69 resistance cluster (0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone). The breakdown below 0.382 ($2.09) and later the decisive loss of 0.236 ($1.719) accelerated downside pressure, pushing price toward macro support. Currently, XRP is consolidating around $1.34–$1.36, hovering just above the macro Fibonacci 0 level at $1.119. This is a key structural decision zone. EMA Structure (Bearish Alignment) 20 EMA: $1.474 50 EMA: $1.656 100 EMA: $1.870 200 EMA: $2.094 XRP is trading below all major EMAs, confirming continued bearish alignment across timeframes. The $1.47–$1.65 zone (20 & 50 EMA cluster) now acts as immediate dynamic resistance. Broader structural resistance remains between $1.87–$2.09. Any upside move into these levels is likely corrective unless reclaimed with strong momentum and sustained daily closes above them. Fibonacci & Price Structure 0.786 Fib: $3.117 0.618 Fib: $2.690 0.5 Fib: $2.390 0.382 Fib: $2.090 0.236 Fib: $1.719 Fib 0 (Macro Base): $1.119 XRP failed to sustain above the 0.382–0.5 region and later broke below 0.236, confirming continuation of the bearish structure. Current consolidation between $1.34–$1.36 suggests temporary absorption of selling pressure near macro support. A breakdown below $1.33–$1.30 would expose XRP to the $1.119 macro base, while holding this zone could allow a relief bounce toward $1.47–$1.72 resistance. RSI Momentum RSI (14) is currently around 35–38, reflecting weak but stabilizing momentum after recent selling pressure. RSI remains below 50, meaning trend bias is still corrective rather than bullish reversal. 📊 Key Levels Resistance $1.47–$1.65 (20 & 50 EMA cluster) $1.719 (0.236 Fib) $2.090 (0.382 Fib) $2.390 (0.5 Fib) Support $1.33–$1.36 (local consolidation zone) $1.119 (macro base / Fib 0) RSI: 35 — weak / stabilizing 📌 Summary XRP is consolidating just above macro support inside a broader descending channel. While downside momentum has slowed near $1.34, the overall structure remains bearish below $1.72–$1.90. A sustained recovery requires XRP to reclaim $1.719 (0.236) and break the descending channel structure. Failure to hold above $1.30 would likely trigger continuation toward the $1.119 macro base. $XRP

Critical Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and influenced by unpredictable factors like macro events, regulation, sentiment, and liquidations. These forecasts are speculative estimates based on current prices (sourced from CoinGecko/CoinMarketCap), recent news (U.S. tariff uncertainty under Trump’s 15% global hike, Supreme Court rulings, $317M token unlocks this week, miner/earnings reports, and economic data), technical levels, and overall market sentiment (currently cautious-to-bearish with “extreme fear” signals after BTC’s recent drop from higher 2025 levels). Actual outcomes could deviate sharply—prices can swing 10-30%+ in days. Past performance ≠ future results. DYOR, manage risk, and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Market Snapshot (Feb 23, 2026):
Total crypto market cap ≈ $2.25T (volatile, recent -3% to +4% daily swings). BTC leading the correction amid tariff whiplash and risk-off flows. Alts and memecoins showing higher beta (more amplified moves). Short-term catalysts: potential tariff clarification (noise vs. escalation?), unlocks (selling pressure), and any positive institutional/ETF flows could spark a bounce from oversold conditions. Forecast Scenarios for ~March 2, 2026 • Bear Case (~15-25% probability, most likely if tariffs escalate or macro risk-off intensifies): Deeper correction, more liquidations, sustained selling from unlocks. Majors -10-15%, alts -15-25%, memecoins -25-40%. • Base Case (~50-60% probability, most expected): Consolidation/sideways with mild recovery as tariff news is digested as “noise.” Majors flat to +5%, alts +0-10%, memecoins volatile but range-bound. • Bullish Case (~20-30% probability, if rebound catalysts hit): Oversold bounce, positive news flow, buying on dips. Majors +10-15%, alts +15-25%, memecoins +30-50%+ (high volatility). | Coin | Current Price (USD) | Bear Case (Price / % chg) | Base Case (Price / % chg)| Bullish Case (Price / % chg) | |---------------|-------------|-----------------------|------------|------------------------------| | **BTC** | ~64,200 | 56,500 / -12% | 66,000 / +3% | 72,500 /+13% | | **ETH** | ~1,855 | 1,630 / -12% | 1,920 / +3.5% | 2,100 / +13% | | **BNB** | ~592 | 520 / -12% | 610 / +3% | 675 / +14% | | **XRP** | ~1.36 | 1.19 / -12% | 1.40 / +3% | 1.55 / +14% | | **SOL** | ~78.3 | 68 / -13% | 81 / +3.5% | 91 / +16% | | **ADA** | ~0.262 | 0.230 / -12% | 0.270 / +3% | 0.305 / +16% | | **BCH** | ~509 | 445 / -13% | 525 / +3% | 585 / +15% | | **LINK** | ~8.23 | 7.20 / -12.5% | 8.50 / +3% | 9.60 / +17% | | **AVAX** | ~8.35 | 7.30 / -12.5% | 8.60 / +3% | 9.70 / +16% | | **HYPE** | ~26.4 | 22.0 / -17% | 27.5 / +4% | 32.5 / +23% | | **LTC** | ~51.2 | 45.0 / -12% | 53.0 / +3.5% | 59 / +15% | | **SUI** | ~0.87 | 0.76 / -13% | 0.90 / +3.5% | 1.03 / +18% | | **HBAR** | ~0.0945 | 0.083 / -12% | 0.097 / +2.5% | 0.109 / +15% | | **TON** | ~1.35 | 1.18 / -12.5% | 1.39 / +3% | 1.56 / +16% | | **XLM** | ~0.151 | 0.132 / -12.5% | 0.155 / +3% | 0.175 / +16% | | **DOT** | ~1.26 | 1.10 / -13% | 1.30 / +3% | 1.46 / +16% | | **UNI** | ~3.32 | 2.90 / -13% | 3.42 / +3% | 3.90 / +17% | | **TAO** | ~168 | 147 / -12.5% | 173 / +3% | 195 / +16% | | **AAVE** | ~114.5 | 100 / -13% | 118 / +3% | 133 / +16% | | **PEPE** | ~0.0000040 | 0.0000028 / -30% | 0.0000042 / +5% | 0.0000057 / +42% | | **SHIB** | ~0.0000060 | 0.0000042 / -30% | 0.0000063 / +5% | 0.0000085 / +42% | | **BONK** | ~0.00000585 | 0.0000041 / -30% | 0.0000061 / +4% | 0.0000083 / +42% | | **PENGU** | ~0.0064 | 0.0045 / -30% | 0.0067 / +5% | 0.0092 / +44% | Key Reasoning & Drivers • BTC/ETH/Blue-chips (BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, etc.): Follow macro flows. Bear = tariff escalation + liquidations push BTC toward $55-60k support zone. Base = range-bound digestion of news. Bull = quick “buy the dip” + any de-escalation or strong miner earnings. • Mid-caps/Alts (LINK, AVAX, SUI, TAO, AAVE, etc.): Higher sensitivity to BTC moves + sector news (e.g., DeFi for AAVE/UNI, AI for TAO). HYPE specifically faces extra pressure from declining perp demand. • Memecoins (PEPE, SHIB, BONK, PENGU): Extreme volatility; driven purely by retail sentiment/social hype. Wider ranges reflect potential for rapid pumps/dumps on any catalyst (or lack thereof). PENGU (Pudgy Penguins) follows broader meme rotation. • Upside risks (Bull case): Tariff clarification as temporary, strong U.S. economic data, ETF inflows resuming, or positive corporate (e.g., MicroStrategy) Bitcoin news. • Downside risks (Bear case): Prolonged trade war rhetoric, higher-than-expected unlocks/liquidations (~$100B+ in recent whiplash noted), or broader risk-off (stocks/gold correlation). Monitor BTC dominance, funding rates, and on-chain metrics closely. Volatility will likely remain elevated this week. For real-time updates, check CoinGecko, TradingView, or reliable on-chain analytics. Trade responsibly! 🚀 (or 🛡️ in bear scenarios).