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- 22:08The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is 88.7%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 11.3%.ChainCatcher news, according to Jinse Finance, CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 11.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 88.7%. In addition, the probability of keeping rates unchanged in October is 5.5%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 49%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 45.5%.
- 21:5261% of traders on Polymarket bet that Bitcoin will fall below $100,000 by the end of the yearAccording to Jinse Finance, data from Polymarket shows that currently 61% of traders expect bitcoin to fall below $100,000 by the end of 2025, down from 72% on Monday. Analysts point out that if the buying demand from digital asset treasuries and institutional buyers cannot offset the downward pressure from large-scale sell-offs, the likelihood of bitcoin breaking the "psychological threshold" of $100,000 will increase. Although some analysts remain optimistic that bitcoin could reach $200,000 before 2026, most market participants are betting that it will fall back below $100,000 by the end of the year. As of press time, the latest trading price of bitcoin is $112,081, and it has not fallen below $100,000 since June.
- 21:50Nvidia CFO: AI infrastructure spending is expected to reach $3 trillion to $4 trillion by the end of this centuryAccording to Jinse Finance, Nvidia's CFO stated that by the end of this century, spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure is expected to reach $3 trillion to $4 trillion. This year, revenue from sovereign artificial intelligence business is expected to exceed $20 billion.