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1Bitget UEX Daily | Houthi Armed Forces Join Middle East Conflict, Two Oil Futures Surge Over 3%; Analysts Predict Tesla and SpaceX May Complete Merger in 2027 (March 30, 2026)2Even a "ceasefire" does not mean "normalization," the world in 2026 will be more "stagflated" than expected3Iran Oil Waiver Releases 140 Million Barrels to Ease Price Pressure—Yet Boosts Iran’s Revenue, Heightening Risks for Market Balance
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101 finance·2026/03/30 08:48
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ATMUSDT Drops Sharply, Then Recovers — Can 1.016 Remain Intact?
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Flash
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UBS: Middle East conflict drags down European auto stocks; luxury car profits under greater pressureGlonghui, March 30th｜UBS analysts stated that since the outbreak of the Middle East conflict, the European automotive sector has declined by 10%-15%, as the market is concerned about rising prices of natural gas and electricity, aluminum, and resin, which together will increase the cost of each car by about 1,000 euros. In addition, the market is also worried about supply chain stability and the potential impact of a weakening economy on demand, especially sales in the Middle East. For high-end/luxury car manufacturers, this region represents only 2% of global sales, but high-end models (such as Maybach and Rolls-Royce) have the highest share, so the impact on profits is significantly greater.
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Analyst: Bab el-Mandeb Strait Becomes a Key Oil Transport Route in the Middle EastOn March 30, foreign analysts stated that the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait has become an important route for Middle Eastern crude oil to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. In March, the daily crude oil shipments through this strait reached 4.14 million barrels, a significant month-on-month increase and the highest since October 2023. Some of this originates from Saudi Arabia's Yanbu port, while a large portion consists of Russian crude oil destined for Asia.
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「Stock Market Guru」 Trump Malfunction: Verbal Boost Ignored by Market, US Stocks Fall for Five Consecutive Weeks Amid Wall Street BacklashBlockBeats News, March 30. The Middle East conflict continues to escalate, policy uncertainty intensifies, and the U.S. stock market is under pressure. The S&P 500 index has recorded its fifth consecutive weekly decline, marking the longest losing streak since 2022. Despite U.S. President Trump's repeated signals to de-escalate the situation to stabilize market sentiment, investors' response has noticeably weakened.
Market analysis points out that as the conflict lingers unresolved and policies fluctuate, the "Trump Put" effect is fading. Investors are no longer simply trading based on policy statements and are even starting to take contrarian actions in the absence of substantial progress.
Meanwhile, oil prices remain high (WTI crude oil surpassing $100), exacerbating global "stagflation" concerns. Coupled with the uncertainty in the Middle East, market risk aversion is increasing. The VIX volatility index has risen above 31, significantly higher than the historical average.
Institutions generally believe that without substantial easing in the Middle East situation, especially the stabilization of the Strait of Hormuz, relying solely on policy rhetoric will be challenging to reverse the market's downward trend.
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