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Monitoring shows that the probability of "Israel launching a strike against Yemen before March 31, 2026" on Polymarket has risen sharply. The current probability is 60%, with an average probability over the past 7 days of 18.1%. On March 28, 2026, the Houthi armed group announced that it had launched a ballistic missile attack on southern Israel. This is the first direct military action by the Houthis against Israeli territory since the recent outbreak of the Iran–US/Israel conflict. The group claims to have targeted "sensitive military facilities" in southern Israel. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed that a missile launched from the direction of Yemen was detected and said it was successfully intercepted, with no reports of casualties at present. Houthi spokesperson Yahya Saree stated that this action was in response to US and Israeli military actions against targets in Iran, Lebanon, Iraq, and Palestine, and emphasized that their operations will continue until the "aggression stops." Recently, Houthi officials have issued multiple warnings, stating that blockading the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait is among their "viable options." Analysts are concerned that, following restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz, a substantial blockade of the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait would cut off critical oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) routes from the Middle East to Europe and Asia. Continue to monitor prediction markets—to see changes before they are priced in.

12:00 (UTC+8)-21:00 (UTC+8) Keywords: Hashdex, an exchange, Ripple1. The Iranian Bushehr nuclear power plant has been attacked three times within 10 days;2. Hashdex crypto index ETF has expanded its component assets to seven, adding ADA and LINK;3. US Senator: The "CLARITY Act" will provide stronger protection for DeFi developers;4. The negative premium trend of Bitcoin on an exchange is widening, indicating that the current correction is led by US investors;5. UXLINK disclosed its AI social engine X-AGENT, which is planned to officially launch next week with a waitlist opening;6. Ripple introduces comprehensive AI reinforcement for XRPL: more than 10 vulnerabilities have been discovered, and the next version will focus on security fixes;7. Goliath Ventures has filed for bankruptcy reorganization, and its founder was previously arrested for allegedly running a $328 million Ponzi scheme.

According to ChainCatcher, citing Arkham data, at 20:57, 227 BTC (worth approximately 15.07 million US dollars) were transferred from an exchange to multiple addresses. Subsequently, a portion of the BTC (0.02222507 BTC) flowed into an exchange.