News

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a savvy trader has placed a $1.6k bet on "Will the Fed raise the federal funds rate upper bound during the September 2026 FOMC meeting?" with an average buy-in probability of 28.1%. The current probability for "Yes" is 29.5%.Trader 0x54e15a0a has bet $1.6k, with the most relevant category being Fed Rate, earning a net profit of $6.6k in this market. Out of 20 settled trades in this category, the trader has a win rate of 14/20 (70%), with 3 trades where the buy-in price was below $0.8 and the sell-out price was above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.201-$0.25), the median historical investment amount is $1.8k.Reuters reported on the 2nd that the U.S. added only 57k nonfarm jobs in June, about half of what economists had expected, and the May job growth was also revised down. As a result, traders have pushed the probability of a July rate hike to below 20%, but still consider a September rate hike more likely. Federal funds futures indicate a 60% probability of a September rate hike, down from 75% before the job data release.Both BofA and Deutsche Bank have recently placed their first rate hike bets on September, believing that in a backdrop of sticky inflation and the need for further policy tightening, September is a more feasible time window. Fed Chair Warsh has also emphasized publicly that he will not tolerate long-term inflation above 2% and hinted at continuing tightening measures when necessary, further strengthening market expectations for the policy path.Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not betting on the actual outcome of the event, as they may have stop-loss or take-profit actions after opening positions at a certain time point.Account:0x54e15a0a77e3147ac78831804e5dde13cb589d5aTotal Investment: $1.6k---------------------------------Get early access to the future, follow @PolyBeats_BotSee tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN

Bank of America has raised its end-2026 target for the STOXX 600 index from 590 points to 630 points.

According to the PRO major order list, the total transaction data of BTC and ETH major investors in the past 24 hours are as follows: BTC: cumulative transactions reached 1.259 billion USD, with buy transactions at 691 million USD, sell transactions at 568 million USD, and a transaction difference of 124 million USD. ETH: cumulative transactions reached 785 million USD, with buy transactions at 414 million USD, sell transactions at 372 million USD, and a transaction difference of 41.76 million USD. Latest data shows that major investors are still deploying at key price levels: BTC net pending order difference is 1.303 billion USD; ETH net pending order difference is 56.55 million USD. Major pending orders may be withdrawn or executed at any time; changes cannot be seen in real-time with non-PRO version K lines. The PRO "Major Order Tracking" indicator monitors every large pending order change in real time, helping you determine whether this "wall" still exists. Note: If the pending order difference is positive, it indicates that major investors have more limit buy orders than sell orders for the coin at that price level, and there is active buying below the current price; if negative, the opposite is true, there is sell pressure above. Data is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.