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On May 22, Kento Minami, an economist at Daiwa Securities, stated that the supply shock caused by tensions in the Middle East may begin to appear in Japan's consumer prices as early as June. The impact of geopolitical risks has not yet manifested in the April data, partly due to government energy subsidies. In April, consumer inflation, excluding volatile fresh food, rose by 1.4% year-on-year, down from a 1.8% increase in March. Minami noted that while Japan has made progress in seeking alternative oil sources, the inevitable cost increases due to longer transportation distances are expected to become a factor driving prices higher in the future. He added that concerns over supply constraints may persist due to differences in crude oil quality and logistical bottlenecks.

Odaily News: Week 21 of 2026 (May 15 - May 22): 1. According to cloverpool, the average Bitcoin network hashrate was 964.2 EH/s, with a high of 1032.1 EH/s and a low of 862.4 EH/s, down 3% from last week’s average hashrate (994.3 EH/s). 2. According to blockchain.com, the average price of Bitcoin was $78,120, with a high of $81,650 and a low of $75,992, down 3.1% compared to last week’s average price ($80,649). 3. Mining industry highlights worth noting: (1) Trump family’s Bitcoin mining firm American Bitcoin holds more than 7,500 BTC; (2) Keel Infrastructure: Q1 net loss of $145 million, completing transition from mining to AI; (3) Bitcoin mining firm IREN plans to raise $2 billion and simultaneously launch an options hedging mechanism to reduce potential equity dilution; Data partner: New York Stock Exchange-listed Bitcoin mining company Cango Inc. (CANG) Cango.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 4 whales have invested $134.7 thousand in "Yes" for the question "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement by May 31, 2026?" The average buy-in probability is 19.8%, and the current "Yes" probability is 18.5%.denizz has invested $81.4 thousand, with the top related market category being Politics, with a net profit of $1.2 million. Their win rate in this category for 855 settled trades is 574/855 (67%), including 183 trades with a buy-in price below $0.8 and a sell-out price above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.101-$0.25), the median historical investment amount is $1,800, making this investment 45.2 times that median.0xdf17f4a8 has invested $17.1 thousand, with the top related market category being Geopolitics, with a net profit of $166 thousand. Their win rate in this category for 345 settled trades is 229/345 (66%), including 31 trades with a buy-in price below $0.8 and a sell-out price above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.201-$0.35), the median historical investment amount is $192, making this investment 89.1 times that median.Parz1vaI has invested $15.7 thousand, with the top related market category being Politics, with a net profit of $278 thousand. Their win rate in this category for 2,802 settled trades is 2,048/2,802 (73%), including 635 trades with a buy-in price below $0.8 and a sell-out price above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.151-$0.3), the median historical investment amount is $117, making this investment 134.2 times that median.Dropper has invested $20.4 thousand, with the top related market category being Politics, with a net profit of $1 million. Their win rate in this category for 1,163 settled trades is 763/1,163 (66%), including 258 trades with a buy-in price below $0.8 and a sell-out price above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.151-$0.3), the median historical investment amount is $203, making this investment 100.7 times that median.Today, US Secretary of State Pompeo stated that there have been "some good signs" in the US-Iran agreement, and he said that the negotiations "have made some progress"; he also revealed that the Pakistani mediator leading the negotiations is expected to go to Tehran to push Iran to review the latest proposal from the Trump administration.Iranian semi-official ISNA media reported that Tehran is evaluating the latest US text, which has "narrowed the differences to some extent"; Iran also suggested that further progress towards an agreement requires Washington to abandon the inclination to resort to war.Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not betting on whether the event actually occurs, but engages in profit-taking and stop-loss behavior after opening positions at a certain point in time.Accounts:0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73;0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1;0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461;0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292.