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Hassett Overtakes Warsh as the Top Candidate for Next Fed Chair 2025-12-17 02:52 According to BlockBeats, on December 17, the probability of National Economic Council Director Hassett becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair has surpassed that of former Fed Governor Warsh, returning Hassett to the top spot. On the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of Warsh being nominated by Trump as Fed Chair has dropped to 30%, while the probability of National Economic Council Director Hassett being nominated has risen to 52%. On the prediction market Kalshi, Warsh's nomination probability has fallen to 31%, while Hassett's has increased to 50%. Previous reports stated that U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent indicated there may be one or two more interviews for the Fed Chair position this week. Trump has been very direct about policy-related questions during the interviews. Both Warsh and Hassett are "very, very qualified." Bessent also refuted the view that Hassett is ineligible to serve at the Fed, while also dismissing concerns that a new chair would compromise the Fed's independence. Report Correction/Report This platform is now fully integrated with the Farcaster protocol. If you already have a Farcaster account, you can log in to comment

10x Research posted on the X platform that although the market consensus remains blindly optimistic about 2026 data, several closely watched indicators are showing divergence — such divergence has historically often signaled an impending shift in the market landscape. The linkage between inflation trends, labor market trends, and interest rate expectations no longer exists, creating a macro environment that is far more fragile than the surface optimism suggests. Meanwhile, core asset classes are sending warning signals: the market's leading sectors may be continuously narrowing, and the suppression of volatility is unlikely to last. To determine whether these changes indicate a mild slowdown or more severe market turmoil requires careful analysis rather than superficial narrative interpretations. Market realities may soon become less friendly. Now is a critical time to focus on underlying data.