News

Jinse Finance reported that Matrixport's daily chart analysis indicates that bitcoin's implied volatility continues to decline, which in turn reduces the likelihood of a significant upward breakout by the end of the year. Today's Federal Open Market Committee meeting is the last major catalyst, but once the meeting concludes, volatility is likely to continue its downward trend until the holiday season. Without new bitcoin ETF inflows to drive directional momentum, the market may return to a range-bound state. This outcome is typically associated with further declines in volatility. In fact, this adjustment process is already underway, with implied volatility continuously decreasing and the market gradually lowering the probability of an upside surprise at the end of December.

Jinse Finance reported that Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley posted on X, stating, "The four-year cycle has come to an end, the market landscape has changed, and it is moving towards maturity. When we look back at 2025, we will realize that the market has been in a bear phase since February—only this trend has been masked by the continuous buying from DATs and bitcoin reserve companies. All factors are building momentum for a major rally in 2026. This scene is truly astonishing."