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- 07:04Matrixport September Outlook: Bitcoin Consolidation Expected to Continue for 2-3 Weeks Until New Catalysts Drive Price VolatilityChainCatcher reports that Matrixport has released its September market outlook, stating that Bitcoin is currently at a stage where technical and macro factors are intertwined. This month will see key events such as non-farm payroll data, CPI, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, further increasing uncertainty. Even if the Federal Reserve chooses to cut rates, the market may not experience the expected rebound. Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating in a key range between bullish and bearish positions, with most investors choosing to wait and see. The next focus should be whether this round of volatility is merely a phase of consolidation or a precursor to a trend reversal. Bitcoin's consolidation is expected to continue for another 2-3 weeks until a new catalyst drives price movement. Entering September, seasonal factors remain bearish; in the past ten years, four years ended with a decline, with an average drop of 2.5%.
- 07:04CryptoQuant: Crypto market cycle extended, expected to see an uptrend in autumn 2025Jinse Finance reported, according to CryptoQuant analyst Dan CoinInvestor, that based on data from long-term bitcoin holders, the current market cycle is noticeably slower than the previous two cycles. Unlike the sharp increases seen in past cycles, the current upward trend is gradually flattening, and a new round of bullish momentum is expected to occur in the fall of 2025. It is worth noting that the report also points out that bitcoin's profit supply has reached the critical threshold of 90%, a level that often signals the market may be entering a correction phase.
- 07:03Matrixport: Bitcoin is currently at a delicate stage where technical and macro factors are collidingJinse Finance reports that Matrixport's daily chart analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently at a delicate stage where technical and macro factors are colliding. This August has already recorded a rare negative return, and the historical performance in September offers little comfort. A series of key policy dates, including employment data, CPI, and the Federal Reserve meeting, make this month particularly important. However, even if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the market may not see the expected rebound. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is hovering near price levels that have previously marked the boundary between bull and bear markets, adding more suspense to the upcoming trend. The real question is: Is this consolidation just "noise," or is it setting the stage for a move that could catch traders off guard? It is expected that Bitcoin's consolidation phase will continue for another two to three weeks, and only when a truly meaningful catalyst emerges might upward volatility return. In several previous reports, we have already highlighted potential triggers and also pointed out that Bitcoin was "likely to consolidate for one to two months" last month. This view remains valid. So far in August, Bitcoin has fallen by 3.9%, while the historical average return for August is only 0.5%. Seasonal factors also do little to improve the outlook: the historical average decline for September is 2.5%, and in four of the past ten years, September ended with a loss.