Why is Bitcoin price down today?
Bitcoin price is down today as investors expect the Federal Reserve to raise rates and crypto whales send record amounts of BTC to exchanges.
The bullish momentum that propelled Bitcoin () to a 76% year-to-date gain has all but vanished on July 24 as Bitcoin price briefly fell below $29,000.
The contraction in Bitcoin price has some analysts cautioning that BTC could still in a serious shake-up.
BTC/USD 1-day price. Source:
Let’s take a closer look at the factors impacting Bitcoin price today.
Related:
Crypto traders turned briefly bullish when the Federal Reserve decided to pause interest rate increases on June 14, but on multiple occasions, Fed chair Jerome Powell has expressed his commitment to reducing inflation by restarting rate hikes if needed.
The next Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) concludes on July 26 and the market seems to confidently believe that the Fed will begin increasing interest rates again. CME’s FedWatch shows the overwhelming market belief that such increases are coming at the next FOMC. As of July 24, the probability of interest rate hikes sits at 98.9%.
Target interest rate probabilities. Source: CME Group
Most major banks still expect the U.S. to experience a sharp recession at some point in 2023.
According to U.S. Bank analysis which incorporates more than 1,000 data points, investor sentiment about the current state of the economy remains low.
Global economic health. Source: U.S. Bank
According to U.S. Bank analysis,
Bitcoin’s price drop comes as BTC inflow shows large investors adding funds to centralized exchanges. On July 24, Bitcoin whale exchange inflow hit a of over 40% of total volume.
Bitcoin whale to exchange inflow. Source: Glassnode
Exchange inflow is one way to monitor whale BTC movement but it does not capture the entire picture when accounting for Bitcoin that moves off exchanges through outflow. Once the inflow is subtracted from the outflow, data can show the total BTC exchange net flow.
Throughout June and July, the whale-to-exchange net flow metric hovered around a positive 4,000 to 6,500 BTC per day.
Bitcoin whale to exchange netflow. Source: Glassnode
A higher positive net inflow of deposits to centralized exchanges may translate to increased selling pressure, meaning Bitcoin price could drop further.
Despite the recent wave of in Bitcoin, the actions of U.S. regulators is still seen as unknown. While the Securities and Exchange Commission has previously noted Bitcoin is not a security, some market analysts are weighing if the current increase in actions is a renewed attempt for the initiative which aims to restrict access to all digital currencies.
Despite the SEC against Ripple () through a Federal District Judge’s summary judgment ruling on July 13, the agency seems poised to . And while a of U.S. lawmakers like Rep. Richie Torres and Rep. Warren Davidson is calling on the SEC Chairman Gary Gensler to clarify his stance on crypto, Gensler than $2.4 billion to go after “noncompliance”.
Related:
Recently, the U.S. and have released digital asset drafts, but not all crypto associations are pleased with the .
The short-term uncertainty in the crypto market does not appear to have changed institutional investors' long-term outlook. Recently, despite a hostile U.S. regulatory environment, large institutions are pushing for which may spark a bull run.
Bitcoin price continues to be directly impacted by macroeconomic events, and it is also likely that further regulatory actions and interest rate hikes will continue having some effect on BTC price.
In the long term, market participants still expect the price of Bitcoin to recover, especially as more financial institutions are seemingly embracing BTC.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
VIPBitget VIP Weekly Research Insights
Stablecoins have recently emerged as a key focus for central banks and financial institutions, with the potential to reshape global payment systems and financial infrastructure. According to data from Chainalysis, stablecoins have surged to a monthly trading volume of trillions of dollars, accounting for 60% to 80% of total cryptocurrency trading volume. This explosive growth has attracted significant attention from traditional financial players, who are accelerating their integration into the digital economy by issuing stablecoins, contributing to blockchain network development, and offering related financial services. In the U.S., financial giants such as JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo are exploring the potential of jointly issuing stablecoins. At the same time, regulatory discussions surrounding stablecoins and the proposed GENIUS Act are gaining significant momentum in mainstream media. In the Web2 world, traditional companies like Stripe have entered the space by acquiring Bridge to build out stablecoin payment capabilities. Meanwhile, Circle has emerged as one of the most influential crypto firms in the U.S. stock market, second only to Coinbase, driven by the success of its USDC stablecoin. In the DeFi space, Yield-Bearing Stablecoins (YBS) are drawing substantial capital inflows with their innovative interest-generating mechanisms.
VIPBitget VIP Weekly Research Insights
Real World Assets (RWAs) bring real-world financial instruments such as bonds, real estate, and credit onto the blockchain, enabling tokenization, programmability, and global accessibility of traditional financial assets. With U.S. interest rates peaking, monetary policy turning dovish, and ETFs paving the way for institutional capital to enter the crypto space, RWAs have emerged as a leading theme capturing growing institutional attention.
VIPBitget VIP Weekly Research Insights
The Base chain has recently seen several major strategic developments: Coinbase has integrated DEX routing for Base on its main app, bridging the gap between CeFi and DeFi liquidity; Shopify has partnered with Base to expand real-world applications and user access points. At the same time, Circle and Coinbase stocks have surged by over 700% and 50% respectively, creating a wealth effect that may spill over into the Base ecosystem—boosting both its TVL and token prices. Recommended projects include: 1) AERO (Aerodrome)—The leading DEX on Base, showing strength despite market downturns; well-positioned to benefit from Coinbase integration. 2) BRETT—A flagship memecoin on Base with over 840,000 holders; likely to lead the next Base memecoin rally. 3) New tokens on Bitget Onchain—Offer early access to emerging Base memecoins while helping users avoid high-risk tokens.
Trending news
MoreCrypto prices
More
