Vitalik Weighs in on Hezbollah Betting on Polymarket
According to Vitalik, the internet and X (Twitter) are filled with people who make online predictions about wars and conflicts.
Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of the Ethereum blockchain, stated on X that he supports the existence of the Hezbollah betting section on Polymarket, sparking debate on the social media platform.
The discussion started after a crypto community member on X, Legendary, raised concerns about the Hezbollah betting section on Polymarket, saying it ‘makes a war look like a football game to bet on.’
In response, Vitalik Buterin said, “I support these existing”. He highlighted the different perspectives of users on Polymarket, saying “The point of polymarket is that from the perspective of traders it’s a betting site, but from the perspective of viewers it’s a news site.”
According to Vitalik, the internet and X (Twitter) are filled with people who make online predictions about wars and conflicts. But, he doesn’t think that everyone making predictions actually has direct involvement or “skin in the game.” In simple words, these predictions are not directly affected by the outcomes, according to Vitalik Buterin.
The Ethereum co-founder clarified that the goal isn’t to “make money from bad stuff happening,” but rather to create an environment where people are held accountable for what they say. This way, both “unjustified fearmongering *and* unjustified complacency are punished, without the intervention of government or corporate censorship.
In response, Chainlink community liaison Zach Rynes asked another question about the risk of assassination prediction markets, where someone might go for a real-life action to influence the result.

Buterin replied “Buterin said he would oppose such markets. “To me, the dividing line is: is the market acting as a primary *incentive* for people to do bad things so they can insider-trade on them.”
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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