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Will Crypto Markets Continue to Surge Amid $1.26B Bitcoin Options Expiring

Will Crypto Markets Continue to Surge Amid $1.26B Bitcoin Options Expiring

CryptopotatoCryptopotato2024/10/17 16:00
By:Author: Martin Young

Friday is here again and that means a batch of crypto options are about to expire, but will they keep market momentum going?

Around 18,500 Bitcoin options contracts are expiring on Friday, Oct. 18, with a notional value of around $1.26 billion.

Today’s options expiry is very similar to last week’s , with declining volatility resulting in smaller expiry events. For this reason, the impact on spot markets is likely to be minimal.

However, there is a large $4 billion Bitcoin options expiry event on the last Friday of this month.

Bitcoin Options Expiry

This week’s tranche of Bitcoin options contracts has a put/call ratio of 0.86. This means that there are slightly more long (call) contracts expiring than shorts (puts).

Additionally, open interest (OI), or the value or number of open options contracts yet to expire, is still high at the strike price of $70,000, with over a billion dollars at that price,  according to Deribit. OI is also over $1 billion at the $100,000 strike price, suggesting the derivatives bulls are getting confident again.

Analyst James Check observed that there was a new high in Bitcoin futures OI. He added that this means two things, high leverage means a higher likelihood of volatile shake-outs, but the bigger Bitcoin gets, the bigger this metric will be simply as a matter of scale.

In addition to today’s Bitcoin options, there are 137,000 Ethereum options that are about to expire with a put/call ratio of 0.62 and a notional value of $367 million. This brings Friday’s crypto options expiry to just over $1.6 billion for the week.

Crypto Market Outlook

Total market capitalization has declined slightly today to $2.42 trillion despite Bitcoin hitting a ten-week high.

The asset spiked to $68,159 during the Friday morning Asian trading session, building on momentum that has seen the asset gain almost 12% since the same time last week.

BTC has not been at this price level since late July, which has led analysts to speculate that a breakout is imminent following the higher high.

However, until BTC tops its mid-March all-time high, it remains range-bound and could pull back over the weekend as profits are taken. Analysts were confident that the accumulation period could be coming to an end.

The altcoins are falling back today with FUD-stricken Ethereum getting rejected again at $2,650 and retreating towards the $2,600 level at the time of writing.

Most of the altcoins were in the red aside from Dogecoin (DOGE) which had made 6% on the day to reach $0.132.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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