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The latest analysis indicates that Ether (ETH) might experience a substantial rebound of 25-50% against Bitcoin (BTC) in 2025, despite current downward pressure.
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Ether’s performance has been lackluster, primarily due to disappointing ETF launches and fierce competition from alternative platforms like Solana (SOL), influencing traders’ confidence.
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According to Aksel Kibar, a chartered market technician, historical trends suggest that the ETH/BTC pair could see significant upside once it reaches critical inflection points.
Explore the potential for Ether’s recovery against Bitcoin in 2025, as current market trends signal opportunities for significant rebounds.
Current Performance of Ether against Bitcoin: A Technical Breakdown
As of October 25, the ETH/BTC pair is trading at approximately 0.0365 BTC, marking its lowest level since April 2021. The recent downward trend has been fueled by several factors including underwhelming ETF launches and competition from other smart contract platforms, namely Solana (SOL). The ongoing pressure appears to have a significant influence on traders’ appetite for Ether, resulting in ongoing loss of momentum against Bitcoin.
Understanding the Inverse Cup-and-Handle Pattern
Ether’s price action seems to be playing out an inverse cup-and-handle (ICH) pattern, which is typically characterized by an upward trend ending in a rounded peak followed by a downward move. The current phase indicates a potential breakdown below the neckline support, a critical technical threshold. If this pattern resolves as expected, ETH/BTC could drop to a target of approximately 0.0319 BTC, representing a further decline of over 15% from current prices.
Rebounding Potential: A New Bull Cycle Ahead?
Despite bearish sentiment, some market analysts are optimistic about Ether’s potential to enter a bull cycle once it reaches critical support levels. Kibar identifies an important threshold around 0.0290 BTC as a crucial inflection point, which previously acted as formidable support during the 2021 rally.
Market Indicators Suggest Recovery
The monthly relative strength index (RSI) for ETH/BTC plummeted to around 33 on October 25, just above the oversold level of 30. This suggests that the market may be approaching a seller exhaustion phase, increasing the chances of a bullish reversal. Historically, such oversold conditions have been seen as favorable buying opportunities, indicating that Ether might be undervalued and poised for a rebound.
Projected Recovery Targets for Ether
Should a bullish reversal materialize, traders could anticipate ETH/BTC to target its 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level near 0.0482 BTC. Additionally, the 50-month exponential moving average (EMA) located at approximately 0.0549 BTC stands as another significant upside target. This implies that from current price levels, Ether could realistically recover by 25-50% in 2025.
Conclusion
In summary, while Ether currently grapples with considerable market pressures against Bitcoin, signals suggest that a turnaround could be on the horizon. Historical patterns and technical indicators favor potential rebounds once price levels secure critical support. Traders and investors should remain attentive to these key levels, as they may present valuable opportunities in the unfolding crypto landscape.
