The probability that the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged in March is 83.5 percent
According to the CME “Fed Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 83.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 16.5%. The probability of keeping the current rate unchanged in May is 59.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 36.0%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 4.8%.
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