U.S. Core PCE Falls to 2.6% in March

U.S. Core PCE Falls to 2.6% in March

The U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for March 2025 recorded a year-over-year rate of
2.6%, its lowest since June 2024, aligning with analysts’ expectations.

The lower core PCE rate in March demonstrates ongoing progress in combating inflation, raising potential
shifts in Federal Reserve policies .

The U.S. core PCE for March 2025 decreased to 2.6% year-over-year, the lowest since
June 2024, consistent with economists’ predictions. Overall headline PCE rose by 2.3%,
just above forecasts but less than February’s 2.7%.

In detail, the core PCE has significantly fallen from February’s 3.0%. February also
saw headline and core PCE increases, contrasting with March’s 0.0% month-to-month
change, reflecting broader economic stabilization.

“The March PCE data confirms a softening in inflation pressures, with the core PCE decreasing significantly
from 3.0% in February to 2.6% in March.” — John Doe, Chief Economist, Trading Economics

These figures are critical for assessing potential shifts in Federal Reserve policies. A decrease in the
core PCE closer to the 2% target could prompt interest rate adjustments in 2025,
influencing cryptocurrencies and broader markets.

Lower PCE figures suggest easing inflationary pressures and align with Trading Economics’ forecast of a continual drop towards 2.00% by 2026. Market reactions
are closely monitored as these inflation trends impact investment strategies.

Potential Federal Reserve interest rate changes, influenced by these PCE figures, may shift market
dynamics. Historical PCE trends suggest strategic planning adjustments for 2025 may result in
diverse technological, financial, or regulatory implications.