Bitcoin Price Prediction for May 11: Can Bulls Sustain the Push Beyond $103K?

The Bitcoin price today stands at approximately $103,600 after an impressive rally over the past 48 hours. After breaking from a multi-week consolidation range, Bitcoin price spikes pushed it well above the $100,000 psychological mark, gaining bullish traction after breaking out from a descending triangle near the $96,000 zone on May 7. 

The rapid advance has now placed BTC within striking distance of upper resistance, and traders are closely watching Bitcoin price action for clues on whether this move can sustain.

What’s Happening With Bitcoin’s Price?

BTCUSD price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart reveals a strong bullish structure. The breakout candle sliced through key resistance zones at $98,000 and $100,000. Bitcoin support is now between $96,000 and $98,000, an area of previous consolidation and breakout activity. 

Momentum indicators such as the RSI (30-min chart) now hover around 61, still below overbought territory, which suggests some upside room remains before saturation. Meanwhile, MACD is attempting another bullish crossover, showing rising histogram strength.

Bitcoin Price Action Signals Consolidation Ahead?

BTCUSD price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

Zooming into the 30-minute chart, the current Bitcoin price movement is experiencing mild consolidation just under the $104,000 resistance band. A key observation is that the price has failed twice to close decisively above the $103,900–$104,200 region, forming a soft horizontal ceiling. The local support near $102,600 has held multiple intraday dips, reinforcing short-term bullish structure but also hinting at potential Bitcoin price volatility if bears retest the zone.

BTCUSD price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

The stochastic RSI on the 4-hour chart has cooled off from extreme overbought levels, currently sitting near the mid-50s, which could pave the way for either renewed buying pressure or sideways movement. The EMA ribbon remains steeply upward, with 20/50/100/200 EMAs all aligned for a bullish continuation pattern.

Why Bitcoin Price Going Up Today?

BTCUSD price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

The latest Bitcoin price update suggests that market sentiment has flipped firmly bullish after a breakout from a larger descending wedge visible on the daily chart. This pattern had capped Bitcoin price action since early April. The move above $100,000 not only completed that breakout but confirmed the flip of $96,000 from resistance into support.

Adding to the positive momentum, MACD on the daily timeframe shows an increasing bullish divergence with price, while RSI hovers around 61—still within sustainable bounds for further upside. With price comfortably above the key EMAs (4-hour chart), and volume rising during the breakout, this upswing may extend toward $106,000–$108,500, provided bulls maintain strength above $103,000.

May 11 Outlook: What to Expect From Bitcoin Price?

BTCUSD price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

For May 11, the Bitcoin price prediction remains cautiously bullish. If bulls manage to close above $103,900 on the hourly chart, the next upside targets lie near $106,200 and $108,000—levels aligned with prior daily resistance clusters. However, failure to break this ceiling may trigger a retest of support near $102,600 or even the $100,000 psychological handle. A drop below $98,500 would shift the near-term bias to neutral.

This move builds on our previously discussed bullish scenario on May 10, where we identified breakout potential from the $96,000 zone. That breakout has now materialized, making it essential for bulls to hold higher ground or risk a return to consolidation.

Bitcoin Price Forecast Table