May 17 DOGE Price Prediction: Whale Spike and On-Chain Surge Signal Breakout Watch

• Dogecoin (DOGE) price prediction for May 17 depends on breaking $0.25-$0.26 resistance today
• Ali Martinez notes rising DOGE on-chain activity and whale transactions impacting May 17 view
• DOGE bullish technicals (RSI <70, positive MACD) suggest May 17 upside if resistance yields

Dogecoin’s (DOGE) price outlook for May 17 is drawing keen interest as the cryptocurrency today, May 16, challenges a critical resistance zone between $0.25 and $0.26. 

This particular price range, as prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez notes, has historically been a tough ceiling for DOGE, repeatedly rejecting attempts at upward movement. How Dogecoin performs against this barrier today will likely be a primary indicator for its price action tomorrow. 

$0.25-$0.26 Resistance: The Key Hurdle for DOGE’s May 17 Trajectory

According to analyst Ali Martinez , this range has repeatedly rejected upward price movements, as evidenced by several past failures to break through, marked by black arrows on the chart he shared.

Source: Ali Martinez on X

Key Technical Resistance Zone

Martinez highlights that the $0.25–$0.26 band is a heavily contested region, where strong selling pressure consistently outweighs demand. This resistance level has formed a psychological and technical barrier that DOGE has yet to decisively overcome. 

If Dogecoin manages to decisively break above and hold this range today, it would represent a significant shift in market sentiment. Such a move could spark increased buying, setting the stage for a bullish run for DOGE leading into May 17.

The recent price action, visible on the daily chart, shows DOGE trading around $0.2268 at the time of writing, with a strong green candle indicating bullish momentum building toward the resistance area.

Related: Dogecoin’s Next 24 Hours: Polymarket Gives Low Odds for $0.24

Surging On-Chain Activity: A Positive Sign for DOGE’s Short-Term Price?

Fueling some optimism for Dogecoin’s May 17 price, Ali Martinez also highlights the surge in its on-chain activity. Daily active addresses are on the rise, pointing to increasing user engagement. 

At the same time, transaction volume measured in USD has also seen an uptick, signaling increased capital flow within the Dogecoin ecosystem. Importantly, whale transaction counts for DOGE have climbed, indicating that large holders–often referred to as smart money–are becoming more active. 

While spikes in on-chain metrics and whale activity can historically precede various types of significant DOGE price movements, the current uptrend in these figures could be viewed as a supportive factor for Dogecoin’s immediate price potential as May 17 approaches.

Technical Indicators Offer Clues for Dogecoin’s May 17 Path

Daily technical indicators for Dogecoin also provide important clues for its price outlook on May 17. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently around 62.25,  below the overbought threshold of 70, suggesting there’s still room for further upward movement.

Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator shows that the MACD line (blue) has crossed above the signal line (orange), with a growing histogram in the positive territory. 

Source: TradingView

Additionally, based on the recent local swing low around $0.14, key Fib extension levels provide a range of upside targets at 1.618 Fib at $0.141–already reclaimed, previously a resistance turned support; 2.618 Fib at $0.115–firmly below current price, now a deeper support; 3.618 Fib at $0.089–distant support in a bearish scenario; and 4.236 Fib at $0.073–marks the ultimate bearish floor if momentum collapses.