Is Bitcoin (BTC) Following Gold’s Macro Cycle? Key Fractal Signals Bullish Rally Ahead

Date: Tue, May 20, 2025 | 08:22 AM GMT

The cryptocurrency market has mounted a strong revival in recent weeks. After a bearish Q1 that saw Bitcoin (BTC) fall by 11%, the biggest crypto has now surged over 27% since the start of Q2 and is currently trading above $105,000.

While this move alone has brought optimism back to the market, a powerful chart pattern may be signaling that Bitcoin’s rally is far from over — and could, in fact, just be getting started.

Bitcoin Mirrors Gold’s Historic Cup-and-Handle Pattern

According to a recent analysis by renowned crypto analyst TechDev , Bitcoin appears to be mimicking the exact macro structure that Gold (XAU/USD) followed between 2013 and 2020 — a classic cup-and-handle pattern.

The chart comparison shows an almost perfect fractal alignment:

• Gold spent years forming a rounded “cup” pattern from 2013 to 2018.
• This was followed by a sideways consolidation phase, forming the “handle.”
• Once the handle completed, Gold broke out vertically, surging from ~$2,000 to over $3,500.

Bitcoin, on the other hand, has just completed a similar cup that formed from its 2021 high through the bear market bottom. It is now forming a consolidation handle, similar in structure and timing to Gold’s pre-breakout pause.

If this fractal continues to play out, Bitcoin may soon follow with a strong vertical breakout, potentially pushing its price well into the $250,000–$300,000 range in the months ahead.

This bullish pattern is being reinforced by strong fundamentals:

• Institutional interest is rising as more traditional investors gain exposure to BTC.
• Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. are steadily gaining inflows.
• Macroeconomic indicators are stabilizing, with inflation cooling and interest rate hikes likely paused — a favorable backdrop for risk assets like crypto.

Combined, these conditions echo the same macro environment that powered Gold’s breakout, further validating the Bitcoin fractal.

Final Thoughts

Bitcoin is currently trading in a structure that closely resembles Gold’s pre-breakout phase — and history suggests that such setups often lead to explosive moves. If the fractal plays out as expected, Bitcoin’s next leg higher could be dramatic and swift.

For traders and investors, this may be a crucial moment — not just to watch the charts, but to prepare for what could be one of the most significant moves in Bitcoin’s history.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies