Will the Stock Market Crash on Monday: Key Insights and Trends

Will the stock market crash on Monday? This question is top of mind for many investors, especially amid recent volatility in both traditional equities and crypto-related stocks. In this article, you'll discover the latest data, technical signals, and industry trends that can help you understand the risks and opportunities facing the market at the start of the week.

Recent Market Movements and Technical Signals

As of October 28, 2025, several high-profile stocks have experienced significant downward pressure. Notably, MSTR stock price remained under pressure on Monday after Michael Saylor’s Strategy continued its Bitcoin accumulation. According to recent reports, MSTR stock has dropped by 36% from its highest point this year, trading at $294, and is now 46% below its all-time high of $542. This decline has reduced its market capitalization from $128 billion to $83 billion.

Technical analysis reveals that MSTR has formed a death cross pattern—a bearish crossover of the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages. Historically, this pattern is associated with further downside risk. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the neutral point at 50, and the stock is trading below the Supetrend indicator, signaling continued bearish momentum.

Crypto-Related Stocks and Broader Market Sentiment

The question "will the stock market crash on Monday" is especially relevant for investors tracking crypto-exposed equities. MSTR is not alone in its decline; other companies with significant Bitcoin holdings, such as Metaplanet and American Bitcoin, have also seen double-digit drops in recent months. For example, Metaplanet’s stock fell from ¥1,927 in June to ¥488 by late October.

These declines reflect waning interest in Bitcoin treasury strategies and broader uncertainty in the crypto sector. Despite ongoing Bitcoin accumulation—MSTR acquired 390 BTC worth over $43 million last week, bringing its total holdings to 640,808 BTC—the market has not responded positively. The Net Asset Value (NAV) premium for MSTR has dropped sharply, with the basic mNAV multiple falling to 1.153 from a November high of 3.3. This suggests that the premium investors once paid for crypto exposure has largely evaporated.

Key Factors Influencing Monday's Market Outlook

Several factors contribute to the ongoing debate about whether the stock market will crash on Monday:

• Technical Patterns: The death cross and persistent bearish indicators in major crypto-related stocks point to continued caution.
• Market Capitalization and Dilution: MSTR’s outstanding shares have increased from 76 million in 2021 to 261 million, raising concerns about dilution as the company raises capital for further Bitcoin purchases.
• Investor Sentiment: The sharp drop in NAV premiums and the lack of positive response to Bitcoin accumulation highlight a risk-off sentiment among investors.
• Broader Economic Trends: While crypto stocks are under pressure, the overall stock market’s direction will also depend on macroeconomic data, regulatory developments, and institutional adoption trends.

It’s important to note that while some stocks appear to be bargains compared to historical levels, technical and sentiment indicators suggest that further downside is possible, especially if current trends persist.

Staying Informed and Managing Risk

For those concerned about whether the stock market will crash on Monday, staying updated with reliable data and technical analysis is crucial. Monitoring key indicators—such as trading volumes, market capitalization, and on-chain activity—can provide early warning signs of increased volatility.

Bitget offers a comprehensive platform for tracking both traditional and crypto markets, with advanced analytics and real-time data. For secure asset management, consider using Bitget Wallet to safeguard your digital holdings and monitor market trends efficiently.

Common Misconceptions and Practical Tips

Many investors believe that a single technical pattern or news event can predict a market crash. In reality, market movements are influenced by a combination of factors, including liquidity, institutional flows, and macroeconomic news. Relying solely on one indicator, such as the death cross, can lead to missed opportunities or unnecessary panic.

To navigate uncertain markets:

• Regularly review multiple data sources and technical signals.
• Stay updated with official announcements and on-chain data.
• Use secure platforms like Bitget for trading and asset management.

Explore more insights and tools on Bitget to stay ahead of market trends and make informed decisions.