Analyst predicts Bitcoin and altcoin bull run as FOMO returns

Markus Thielen, Head of Research at 10x Research, disclosed that the September rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and China’s stimulus have caused a new FOMO wave in the crypto industry.

He noted that Bitcoin had surged 5%, Ethereum had risen 11%, and altcoins like SHIB, ENA, and SEI gained 36%, 51%, and 54%, respectively, since the rate cuts.       

Thielen’s analysis revealed an altcoin explosion and an acceleration in stablecoin minting. Chinese OTC crypto brokers reported over $120 billion (~$20B per quarter) in inflows for the last six quarters. According to the report, $10B in stablecoins were issued within the last few weeks, flooding the crypto market with liquidity that significantly surpassed Bitcoin ETF flows. He added that Bitcoin’s break above $65K was probably the first step towards the $70K mark and maybe a series of all-time highs in the near future.      

Analyst sees another Bitcoin and altcoin boom

Thielen’s report attributed the decline in Bitcoin’s dominance and the spike in Ethereum gas fees to a surge in altcoin activity. He claimed that the ‘DeFi renaissance’ was ignited by the 10-year bond yield drop below the 4.0% threshold. The report revealed that USDC minting indicated a rise in DeFi activity as YTD stablecoin inflows reached $35 billion, pushing the total stablecoin value to over $160 billion.

The report declared that Circle disproportionately accounted for 40% of the latest stablecoin inflows. It also noted that South Korea’s retail crypto activity supported this trend as daily trading volumes averaged $2 billion, proving that altcoins’ trade dominance surpassed Bitcoin.  

“In just the first half of this year, inflows have already exceeded $40 billion, with 55% of the total value coming from transactions over $1 million, likely driven by high-net-worth individuals or corporate entities.”

– Markus Thielen

Thielen observed that the Fed rate cuts and China’s stimulus measures could trigger significant outflows of capital from China into the crypto market since over 55% of Bitcoin was mined by Chinese pools.   

The Chinese stimulus plan impacts crypto

According to the analyst, the $278 billion Chinese stimulus plan fueled global liquidity and ignited a parabolic rally in crypto prices. The surge in liquidity coincided with a drop in Bitcoin’s 30-day realized volatility to 41%. Thielen noted that institutional traders were likely to take on bigger positions with lower volatility.

Santiment shared information showing a 43% surge in Shiba Inu’s price, a potential indication of FOMO. The analytics firm considered three on-chain metrics: volume, circulation, and whale transaction count. According to Santiment, Shiba Inu’s social dominance increased; the volume, circulation, and whale transactions spiked to 10-week highs.

Thielen claimed that a Q4 rally was likely, as a major bull run in the crypto space was on the horizon, and it could spark more FOMO across the industry.