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Research suggests the U.S. egg shortage in 2025 is mainly due to avian influenza (H5N1), killing millions of chickens. It seems likely that prices have nearly doubled, with a dozen eggs at $4.15 in December 2024, up 60% from last year. The evidence leans toward supermarkets facing stock shortages, with some limiting purchases to two cartons per family. Future outlooks indicate prices may rise another 20% in 2025, with ongoing recovery challenges. Consumers are frustrated, facing high prices and limits, while retailers adjust by selling at a loss or sourcing locally. Causes of the Shortage The primary cause appears to be the Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (H5N1), which has led to the death of 13.2 million commercial egg-laying hens in December 2024 alone, with nearly 139 million birds lost since 2022 Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. Additional factors include a shortage of truck drivers, increasing shipping costs, and a Colorado law requiring cage-free eggs by January 2025, all contributing to supply disruptions. Effects on Prices and Stock Egg prices have surged, with the average price reaching $4.15 per dozen in December 2024, a 14% increase from November 2024 and 60% higher than the previous year Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. Some regions, like California, face 60% higher prices due to regulatory burdens USDA Invests Up To $1 Billion to Combat Avian Flu and Reduce Egg Prices. Stock shortages are evident, with reports of empty shelves and purchase limits, such as Market Basket in Massachusetts restricting to two cartons per family. Recent Data and Future Outlooks Recent data shows food inflation at 2.5% in December 2024, with egg prices up 160% since 2019 Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. The USDA predicts a 20% price rise in 2025, with ongoing H5N1 outbreaks suggesting continued volatility USDA Invests Up To $1 Billion to Combat Avian Flu and Reduce Egg Prices. Recovery could take over a year, with efforts like vaccine research and temporary imports underway. Consumer and Retailer Responses Consumers express frustration over prices reaching $10 a dozen and difficulty finding eggs, with X posts highlighting limits at stores like Trader Joe's and Costco The egg shortage is real, Egg rationing is here. Retailers respond by limiting purchases, selling at a loss (e.g., $4/dozen vs. $8 elsewhere), and some, like restaurants, absorbing costs to avoid price hikes Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. Comprehensive Analysis of the U.S. Egg Shortage in 2025 This report provides a detailed examination of the U.S. egg shortage, focusing on its causes, impacts on supermarket prices and stock, recent data, future outlooks, and responses from consumers and retailers. The analysis is based on recent news articles, official USDA announcements, and social media insights, reflecting the situation as of May 30, 2025. Causes of the Egg Shortage The primary driver of the egg shortage is the Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (H5N1), first detected in 2022 and causing significant poultry losses. In December 2024, 13.2 million commercial egg-laying hens were killed due to H5N1, contributing to a total loss of nearly 139 million birds since 2022, including those in Puerto Rico Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. The virus, with 83% of cases transmitted from wild birds, necessitates the depopulation of entire flocks, severely impacting supply USDA Invests Up To $1 Billion to Combat Avian Flu and Reduce Egg Prices. Additional contributing factors include supply chain disruptions, notably a shortage of truck drivers, which has increased long-haul shipping costs and delayed egg deliveries Egg Shortage 2025: Causes, Impacts & Outlook. Regulatory changes, such as Colorado's mandate for cage-free eggs by January 2025, have also added pressure on prices, particularly in affected regions Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. Effects on Supermarket Prices and Stock The egg shortage has led to a dramatic increase in prices, with the average cost of a dozen large, grade-A eggs reaching $4.15 in December 2024, up 14% from November 2024 ($3.65), 60% from a year ago ($2.51), and 160% from 2019 ($1.41) Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. In California, prices are 60% higher than other regions due to regulatory burdens and avian flu impacts USDA Invests Up To $1 Billion to Combat Avian Flu and Reduce Egg Prices. Stock levels have been severely affected, with reports of empty shelves in places like Las Vegas and purchase limits at stores such as Market Basket in Massachusetts, restricting customers to two cartons per family Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. The recovery process is slow, as H5N1 requires the slaughter of entire flocks, with repopulation taking 9 months to over a year, and hens needing 19-20 weeks to start laying eggs again Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. Recent Data Recent economic indicators show food inflation at 2.5% overall in December 2024, with food at home up 0.3%, but egg prices have seen disproportionate increases Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. The USDA reported that more than 18 million commercial egg layers were infected by bird flu in January 2025, the highest monthly total, exacerbating the shortage Egg prices to rise more than 40% in 2025, USDA says. The USDA's $1 billion investment, announced on February 26, 2025, includes $500 million for biosecurity, $400 million for farmer relief, and $100 million for vaccine research, with 150 facilities following protocols experiencing only one outbreak USDA Invests Up To $1 Billion to Combat Avian Flu and Reduce Egg Prices. Future Outlooks The USDA predicts egg prices will rise another 20% in 2025, reflecting ongoing challenges with H5N1 outbreaks and recovery timelines Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. Efforts to mitigate the shortage include exploring temporary imports, developing vaccines, and adopting international best practices to reduce depopulation needs USDA Invests Up To $1 Billion to Combat Avian Flu and Reduce Egg Prices. Biweekly discussions and public briefings have started to address the issue, indicating a proactive approach to managing future volatility. Consumer and Retailer Responses Consumer responses, as seen in X posts, reflect frustration and shock over price increases, with some reporting eggs at $10 a dozen and difficulty finding stock The egg shortage is real. Stores like Trader Joe's, Walmart, and Costco have implemented purchase limits, with daily sell-outs reported, and consumers facing rationing Egg rationing is here, Trader Joe’s and Costco place purchase limit on eggs due to hoarding amid price surge. Some consumers express frustration with inflation and empty shelves, with X posts highlighting the struggle to get eggs I literally can’t get eggs. Retailers have responded by selling eggs at a loss in some cases, such as $4 per dozen compared to $8 elsewhere, to drive foot traffic while maintaining margins on other items Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. Some suggest sourcing eggs locally to mitigate systemic issues, and restaurants like Montague Diner are absorbing costs to avoid passing price hikes to customers Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. Small businesses, such as bakeries, are facing significant financial burdens, with some spending tens of thousands more to stay afloat $70K MORE FOR EGGS? SMALL BUSINESSES ARE STRUGGLING. The White House, through Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, has mentioned the Biden administration's role, urging Senate confirmation of USDA nominee Brooke Rollins to address shortages, though statements about killing 100 million chickens seem unrelated to H5N1 Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025. The USDA is also educating consumers and Congress on geographical price differences and working with the FDA to expand egg supply safely USDA Invests Up To $1 Billion to Combat Avian Flu and Reduce Egg Prices. Summary Table of Key Metrics Metric Value Source Average Egg Price (Dec 2024) $4.15/dozen Year-over-Year Price Increase 60% (from $2.51 in Dec 2023) Predicted 2025 Price Increase 20% Hens Lost Due to H5N1 (Dec 2024) 13.2 million Total Birds Lost Since 2022 Nearly 139 million USDA Investment for Relief Up to $1 billion (announced Feb 26, 2025) This comprehensive analysis underscores the complexity of the egg shortage, highlighting the interplay of biological, logistical, and regulatory factors, and the varied responses from stakeholders as of May 30, 2025. Key Citations Egg prices are likely to shoot up even more in 2025 USDA Invests Up To $1 Billion to Combat Avian Flu and Reduce Egg Prices The egg shortage is real Egg rationing is here Trader Joe’s and Costco place purchase limit on eggs due to hoarding amid price surge I literally can’t get eggs $70K MORE FOR EGGS? SMALL BUSINESSES ARE STRUGGLING

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