The Unstable Cat narxiADA

What is Cardano (ADA)? Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchain platform and a layer 1 cryptocurrency. It is a public, open-source, and decentralized platform with a consensus mechanism based on PoS, unlike proof-of-work (PoW) systems like Bitcoin.

$ADA should I long now or wait? can it reach $0.5 this month❓ $BTC $XLM

As the cryptocurrency market navigates the volatility of December and prepares for the thin liquidity of the Christmas holiday period, the cohort of "Made in USA" tokens is facing a crucial divergence. While these assets have traded largely flat over the past week, key on-chain and technical patterns show that some are struggling under mounting bearish pressure, while others are quietly building the foundation for a potential trend reversal, suggesting a highly volatile end to the year. I. Cardano (ADA): The Bearish Flag Continues Despite the promise of recent network improvements, Cardano has failed to shift bearish sentiment, trading down 27% for the month. The fundamental weakness, evidenced by the failure of the Midnight upgrade to lift sentiment, is now clearly reflected on the chart. ADA has decisively broken down from a bearish pole-and-flag continuation structure, confirming that sellers remain in firm control. The broader technical projection for this pattern remains active, pointing to a severe downside risk of nearly 39% from the initial breakdown zone. To prevent the full bearish scenario from unfolding, bulls must defend the critical support at $0.370. Until Cardano can reclaim the upper resistance near $0.489, the outlook remains vulnerable into Christmas. II. Stellar (XLM): Adoption Struggles to Support Price Stellar is positioned at a major decision point, caught between long-term adoption metrics and short-term price pressure. On-chain data shows a cautious trend: while the number of Real-World Asset (RWA) holders on the network has increased, the total value of those assets has declined, signaling a lack of strong capital flow. The technical chart reinforces this caution, having formed a hidden bearish divergence which confirms that the underlying downtrend remains intact despite intermittent bounces. For the short term, XLM must hold the key support level at $0.231 to avoid deeper losses. The bearish structure will only be broken if buyers can muster a significant 10% push to reclaim the cap at $0.262, a level that has rejected every attempt since mid-November. III. Litecoin (LTC): Institutional Quietly Builds a Bullish Base Litecoin stands out as the quiet outlier in the group. Despite trading down over the past month, LTC has shown relative stability over the past week, avoiding the deeper breakdowns seen by peers. This resilience is attributed to strong, consistent institutional demand; reports indicate institutions and funds have quietly accumulated over 3.7 million LTC. This steady demand provides a powerful floor against retail volatility. Technically, LTC is forming a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, a setup that reflects the fading of seller exhaustion and the slow return of buyer control. The structure remains valid above $79.63, but a final daily close above the neckline near $87.08 is required to activate the pattern, which would open a clean path toward its measured target of $101.69 before the end of the year. The fate of these "Made in USA" coins hinges on which force the macro-driven bearish continuation or the long-term institutional accumulation wins out in the final trading sessions of 2025. ⚠️ Important Disclaimer This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and is based on analyst commentary, technical patterns, and on-chain metrics. It is not financial advice, nor should it be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or cryptocurrency. The cryptocurrency market is highly speculative, volatile, and subject to external factors. Readers must conduct their own comprehensive research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Story Highlights On-chain data shows Cardano whales have been on a buying spree while retail capitulates. Cardano’s core developers have enhanced ADA’s privacy transactions via the Midnight network. The midterm outlook for the $ADA price remains bullish amid the Fed’s changing monetary policies. Cardano (ADA) price has signaled a midterm bullish rebound in the coming weeks. The large-cap altcoin, with a fully diluted valuation of about $18 billion, has seen reduced selling pressure over the past three weeks, increasing the odds of a near-term rebound. Moreover, ADA price has established a robust support level above $0.4, following the heavy crypto selloff that began in early October 2025. Main Reasons Why Cardano Price Will Rebound in the Midterm High demand from whales According to on-chain data analysis from Santiment, Cardano whale accounts, with a balance of between 100k and 100 million, added 26,770 ADA coins since the beginning of November. On the other hand, Cardano wallets with an account balance of below 100 coins have dumped 44,751 ADA coins since the start of November. Historically, a renewed demand from whale investors amid capitulation of retail traders has resulted in bullish sentiment. Technical Support From a technical analysis standpoint, the ADA/USD pair has been retesting a crucial multi-month rising logarithmic support level in the last three weeks. The support trendline was established after the altcoin rebounded from its bear market lows of around $0.25. The midterm bullish sentiment for the ADA price will be invalidated if the ADA price consistently falls below $0.4 in the coming weeks. Network growth in a privacy-centric way Cardano’s midterm bullish sentiment is bolstered by the recent launch of the Midnight (NIGHT) project. Moreover, the mid-cap altcoin project, with a fully diluted valuation of about $1.2 billion, is focused on enhancing privacy transactions on the Cardano network at scale.